The development and deployment of new operational runoff forecasting systems are a strong focus of the scientific community due to the crucial importance of reliable and timely runoff predictions for early warnings of floods and flashfloods for local businesses and communities. OpenForecast, the first operational runoff forecasting system in Russia, open for public use, is presented in this study. We developed OpenForecast based only on open-source software and data—GR4J hydrological model, ERA-Interim meteorological reanalysis, and ICON deterministic short-range meteorological forecasts. Daily forecasts were generated for two basins in the European part of Russia. Simulation results showed a limited efficiency in reproducing the spring flood of 2019. Although the simulations managed to capture the timing of flood peaks, they failed in estimating flood volume. However, further implementation of the parsimonious data assimilation technique significantly alleviates simulation errors. The revealed limitations of the proposed operational runoff forecasting system provided a foundation to outline its further development and improvement.
Angiogenesis is a process of new blood vessel formation, which plays a significant role in carcinogenesis and the development of diseases associated with pathological neovascularization. An important role in the regulation of angiogenesis belongs to several key pathways such as VEGF-pathways, TGF-β-pathways, and some others. Introduction of small interfering RNA (siRNA) against genes of pro-angogenic factors is a promising strategy for the therapeutic suppression of angiogenesis. These siRNA molecules need to be specifically delivered into endothelial cells, and non-viral carriers modified with cellular receptor ligands can be proposed as perspective delivery systems for anti-angiogenic therapy purposes. Here we used modular peptide carrier L1, containing a ligand for the CXCR4 receptor, for the delivery of siRNAs targeting expression of VEGFA, VEGFR1 and endoglin genes. Transfection properties of siRNA/L1 polyplexes were studied in CXCR4-positive breast cancer cells MDA-MB-231 and endothelial cells EA.Hy926. We have demonstrated the efficient down-regulation of endothelial cells migration and proliferation by anti-VEGFA, anti-VEGFR1, and anti-endoglin siRNA-induced silencing. It was found that the efficiency of anti-angiogenic treatment can be synergistically improved via the combinatorial delivery of anti-VEGFA and anti-VEGFR1 siRNAs. Thus, this approach can be useful for the development of therapeutic angiogenesis inhibition.
Sediments are an essential part of the aquatic environment that define its transformation and development. The construction of dams results in severe changes in sediment fluxes. This study aims to assess how the sediment load of the upper Moskva River is affected by the Mozhaysk Dam flow regulation and to estimate its dynamics over the years of the reservoir’s existence. Our analysis of the 1968, 2012 and 2016 detailed field data shows a 20-40% decrease in the proportion of the spring flood in the annual sediment load into the reservoir, which is caused by changes in the streamflow regime of the inflowing rivers. The peak suspended sediment concentrations have decreased 5- to 10-fold, likely due to a significant decline in the watershed’s cultivated land area, which caused a decrease in the erosion rate. In the Moskva River below the dam, the seasonal dynamics of the suspended sediment concentration no longer corresponds to the natural regime. The annual suspended load of the Moskva River below the Mozhaysk Reservoir decreased up to 9-fold. The sediment retention in the reservoir has dropped from 90% to 70-85% and is to some extent restored by an outflow of the particulate organic matter produced in the reservoir. We also described the relationships between water turbidity and suspended sediment concentration of the reservoir’s tributaries, which allow for the first time to estimate the sediment load with higher accuracy than was previously possible.
In 2019, we conducted an integrated study on the Moskva River and its tributaries during the low summer season with a focus on organic matter content (OM) assessment in river waters. The maximum OM content was measured at the river headwaters and related to natural sources. The Mozhaysk Reservoir regulation in the summer had the effect of increased organic load below the dam due to a rise in the allochthonous labile OM. Upstream from the Moscow City, the OM content was relatively low, despite wastewater inflow from several densely populated areas and polluted river inflow. Within the city, organic matter concentration increased by a factor of 1.5 due to an inflow from the Volga River via the Moskva-Volga Canal, whereas the release of treated sewage from the Moscow City wastewater treatment facilities did not have a significant effect. Below the city, the OM content increased again by a factor of 1.5 due to the inflow of urban and industrial wastewater and polluted tributaries. The observations in the lower reaches of the Moskva River indicate a high degree of anthropogenic euthrophication.
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