Aim. To develop a mathematical equation (algorithm) to predict the development of chronic heart failure (CHF) for three years, depending on the clinical phenotype.Material and methods. Three hundred forty five patients with CHF with a different left ventricular ejection fraction (preserved, mean, low) were examined. The control group included somatically healthy individuals (n=60). In all patients, 48 parameters that most widely characterize the pathogenesis of CHF (gender-anamnestic, clinical, instrumental, biochemical) were analyzed. To isolate phenotypes, dispersive and cluster analysis was used: the hierarchical classification method and the k-means method. In the development of algorithms we used binary logistic regression method. We used ROC curve to assess the quality of the obtained algorithms.Results. We identified four phenotypes in patients with CHF: fibro-rigid, fibro-inflammatory, inflammatory-destructive, dilated-maladaptive. For the first three phenotypes, a mathematical logistic regression method was used to develop mathematical models for predicting the progression of CHF for three years, with the release of predictors for each phenotype. Belonging to the dilatedmaladaptive phenotype according to the results of the analysis is already an indicator of an unfavorable prognosis in patients with CHF.Conclusion. The developed algorithms based on the selected phenotypes have high diagnostic sensitivity and specificity and can be recommended for use in clinical practice.

Aim.To study and analyze the levels of oxidative stress (OS) markers (malondialdehyde (MDA), superoxide dismutase (SOD), advanced oxidation protein products (AOPPs)) depending on the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and functional class (FC) in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF).Material and methods.We examined 60 somatically healthy individuals and 345 patients with CHF, which were divided into three main groups depending on the LVEF and subgroups depending on FC. The levels of OS markers were determined in blood serum — MDA, SOD and AOPPs.Results.In the group of patients with preserved LVEF and FC II-IV CHF, levels of MDA and AOPPs were statistically significantly higher, and the SOD level was lower compared to the control group. In the group of patients with moderately reduced and reduced LVEF, the levels of MDA and AOPPs were statistically significantly higher, and SOD activity was lower compared with the control group and the group of patients with CHF and preserved LVEF. In patients with CHF with higher FC, there was a statistically significant increase of MDA and AOPPs levels and decrease of SOD activity. The most pronounced changes in the levels of above-mentioned markers were recorded in patients with reduced LVEF. According to the correlation analysis a direct relationship between the levels of markers of the OS and clinical manifestations of the disease was found.Conclusion.Changes in levels of MDA, SOD and AOPPs in patients with CHF were detected already in the early stages of the disease compared with the control group. In patients with higher FC CHF and preserved, moderately reduced and reduced LVEF, a statistically significant increase in the levels of MDA and AOPPs and a decrease of SOD activity were observed. The most pronounced changes in the levels of the markers were indicated in patients with reduced LVEF.

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Background. The article considers with the current problem of cryptogenic stroke and embolic stroke of undetermined source.The objective was to analyzed the results of follow-up of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source in a specialized outpatient center.Methods and materials. The data of 169 patients who completed a two-year follow-up period with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) and cardioembolic stroke were analyzed.Results. We presented comparative results on the structure of incidence rate, age differences, comorbid pathology, as well as on the frequency of repeated cardiovascular events in groups with cardioembolic stroke and embolic stroke of undetermined source.Conclusions. Patients with ESUS are an extremely difficult category of patients for diagnostic search, for whom the actual task is to develop an examination algorithm for the earliest possible detection of the cause of stroke and to determine the optimal methods of secondary prevention.

The study showed that a statistically significant increase of NT-proBNP levels (779,36 [473; 2193] pg/ml) and MR-proADM (1,72 [1,56; 1,98] nmol/l) relative to the control values (69.90 [48.96; 91.00] pg / ml and 0,49 [0,18; 0,58] nmol/l, respectively) is common for the patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy. The presence of concomitant chronic obstructive pulmonary disease among the patients is associated with more pronounced increase in the level of NT-proBNP (872,37 [510; 2355] pg/ml) and MR-proADM (1,97 [1,75; 2,19] nmol/l) compared with a group of patients with isolated ischemic cardiomyopathy. This can be considered as one of the compensation links for this comorbid combination