2022
DOI: 10.3390/su141811212
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A Conflict Measures-Based Extreme Value Theory Approach to Predicting Truck Collisions and Identifying High-Risk Scenes on Two-Lane Rural Highways

Abstract: Collision risk identification and prediction is an effective means to prevent truck accidents. However, most existing studies focus only on highways, not on two-lane rural highways. To predict truck collision probabilities and identify high-risk scenes on two-lane rural highways, this study first calculated time to collision and post-encroachment time using high-precision trajectory data and combined them with extreme value theory to predict the truck collision probability. Subsequently, a traffic feature para… Show more

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Cited by 5 publications
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