A generic method to assess species exploratory potential under climate change

Abstract

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Contrasting climate velocity impacts in warm and cool locations show that effects of marine warming are worse in already warmer temperate waters

“…However, in order to detect the impact of climate change on rockfish (many of which have generation times >20 yrs), one would require either data in excess of 20 years, or to contrast patterns of change between age classes. Indeed, responses to environmental change can be expected to differ between species, depending on the life history of species including physiological tolerances, lifespan, and dispersal patterns (Massiot‐Granier et al., 2018). Furthermore, reaching reproductive maturity frequently results in shifts in dispersal patterns, habitat selectivity, physiological tolerances (Laurel et al., 2007), and therefore, represents a potentially important break point for understanding the impacts of climate change.…”

Potential changes to the biology and challenges to the management of invasive sea lampreyPetromyzon marinusin the Laurentian Great Lakes due to climate change

“…Sea lamprey do not appear to home to their natal streams, and are therefore well‐suited to explore, invade, and occupy new areas (Massiot‐Granier et al, ; Waldman et al, ).The expansion of suitable sea lamprey spawning and rearing habitats to current cold‐water and northern rivers in the Great Lakes (e.g., Lake Superior and Lake Michigan‐Huron basins) might be expected. Estimating this could be accomplished by an approach similar to the predicted disappearance from some Iberian, Mediterranean, and southern Baltic areas and potential appearance in Iceland and northern Baltic drainages based on biogeographical models (Lassalle, Béguer, Beaulaton, & Rochard, ).…”

“…Sea lamprey do not appear to home to their natal streams, and are therefore well-suited to explore, invade, and occupy new areas (Massiot-Granier et al, 2018;Waldman et al, 2008).The expansion of suitable sea lamprey spawning and rearing habitats to current cold-water and northern rivers in the Great Lakes (e.g., Lake…”