2023
DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2023.100431
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A global outlook on increasing wildfire risk: Current policy situation and future pathways

Pooja Pandey,
Gabriela Huidobro,
Luis Filipe Lopes
et al.
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Cited by 21 publications
(5 citation statements)
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References 65 publications
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“…As highlighted in previous studies, such as [34], the importance of long-term policies aimed at addressing the structural causes of wildfires and integrating wildfire and forest management strategies is paramount [5,82]. Our model simulations point toward an urgent paradigm shift, centered on 'fire-smart' management, which should aim to mitigate fire severity through fuel treatments accompanied by land-use conversions (preferably to fireresistant or fire-resilient vegetation types).…”
Section: Future Perspective and Challengesmentioning
confidence: 78%
“…As highlighted in previous studies, such as [34], the importance of long-term policies aimed at addressing the structural causes of wildfires and integrating wildfire and forest management strategies is paramount [5,82]. Our model simulations point toward an urgent paradigm shift, centered on 'fire-smart' management, which should aim to mitigate fire severity through fuel treatments accompanied by land-use conversions (preferably to fireresistant or fire-resilient vegetation types).…”
Section: Future Perspective and Challengesmentioning
confidence: 78%
“…The main goal of this paper was to design a conceptual model that would enable fire hazard and fire risk assessment at a more detailed level, using moderate-to high-resolution data that were already available. Different fire risk assessment methodologies have been proposed and applied over the past decades, covering large, macro-scale regions (e.g., Canada, USA, Europe, Australia [2,22,24,27,31,116]). However, fire drivers as well as their possible consequences are still not adequately described at a finer resolution, capturing the heterogeneity of fire risk variables at the micro-or meso-scales.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Extreme events are driving change faster than predictions (Almazroui et al, 2021;Tabari, 2020) and as a result, tipping points forecast for later in the century may be on the verge of breach. Already the increase of fires worldwide (Clarke et al, 2022;Pandey et al, 2023), and in the previously frozen Arctic Boreal forest (Dieleman et al, 2020, p. 202;Kim et al, 2020;Veraverbeke et al, 2017), the change in ocean salinity and overturning as a consequence of ice melt (Almeida et al, 2023;Boers, 2021;Ditlevsen & Ditlevsen, 2023;Fournier et al, 2023), and the switch of carbon sequestration to emission of the Amazon (Gatti et al, 2021;Lovejoy & Nobre, 2018) and Arctic tundra (de Vrese & Brovkin, 2021;Heffernan et al, 2020;Hugelius et al, 2020) have been reported (Figure 2).…”
Section: Cross-scale Changes Drive Future Researchmentioning
confidence: 99%