A Monte-Carlo game theoretic approach for Multi-Criteria Decision Making under uncertainty

Madani, Kaveh; Lund, Jay R.

doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2011.02.009

Cited by 165 publications

(69 citation statements)

References 74 publications

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“…Therefore, their acceptability is always questionable, given that there is always at least one beneficiary who finds one of the given alternatives unfair because they can gain more under another rule (Madani and Lund, 2011). As one of the most commonly used social choice (voting) methods (Sheikhmohammady and Madani, 2008;Madani et al, 2014c), the plurality index can be considered as an indicator of potential acceptability of a decision rule in multiparticipant decision-making problems.…”

Section: Stability Evaluationmentioning

confidence: 99%

A new framework for resolving conflicts over transboundary rivers using bankruptcy methods

Madani

Zarezadeh

Morid

2014

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.

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Abstract.A novel bankruptcy approach is proposed for resolving transboundary river conflicts in which the total water demand or claim of the riparian parties is more than the available water. Bankruptcy solution methods can allocate the available water to the conflicting parties with respect to their claims. Four commonly used bankruptcy methods in the economic literature are used here to develop new river bankruptcy solution methods for allocating water to the riparian parties of river systems. Given the non-uniform spatial and temporal distribution of water across river basins, the proposed solution methods are formulated as non-linear network flow optimization models to allocate water with respect to time sensitivity of water deliveries at different locations in a river network during the planning horizon. Once allocation optimization solutions are developed, their acceptability and stability must be evaluated. Thus, a new bankruptcy allocation stability index (BASI) is developed for evaluating the acceptability of river bankruptcy solutions. To show how the proposed river bankruptcy framework can be helpful in practice, the suggested methods are applied to a real-world transboundary river system with eight riparians under various hydrologic regimes. Stability analysis based on the proposed stability evaluation method suggests that the acceptability of allocation rules is sensitive to hydrologic conditions and demand values. This finding has an important policy implication suggesting that fixed allocation rules and treaties may not be reliable for securing cooperation over transboundary water resources as they are vulnerable to changing socioeconomic and climatic conditions as well as hydrologic nonstationarity.

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Section: Stability Evaluationmentioning

confidence: 99%

A new framework for resolving conflicts over transboundary rivers using bankruptcy methods

Madani

Zarezadeh

Morid

2014

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.

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“…게임이론에 의한 분쟁해결은 최근 국내외적으 로 다수의 연구사례 (Yi et al, 2006;Kim et al, 2007;Choi and Lee, 2008;Yi et al, 2010;Madani and Hipel, 2011;Madani and Lund, 2011)가 있다. 보다 시장적 접근법으로 서는 보상적 인센티브에 의한 계량경제학적 모형을 지역 간 용수배분에 적용한 연구나 (Han and Kim, 2000;Kim, 2002), 물시장 도입(MOCT, 2000)도 연구된 바 있다.…”

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A Consensus-Building Support System for Water Environment Governance Based on Multi-Criteria Decision Making

Lee¹,

Yi²,

Kim³

2014

Journal of Korea Water Resources Association

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In this study, we propose a consensus-building support system to engage various stakeholders, transparently disseminate information, ensure objective decision-making, and reflect the view of each stakeholder as a methodology or tool for resolving conflicts that may arise in the process of implementing water environment policies and plans. The system suggests ways to resolve issues by engaging all interested actors and not just a few influential groups of stakeholders imposing their solutions upon local users. The system provides an environment where stakeholders can find solutions to conflicts through their own efforts, mediating competing interests through the interactions such as negotiations and conciliation to reach a consensus. To verify the applicability of the proposed consensus-building support system, simulated role-playing albeit restricted was conducted on the case of the Hantangang Dam construction. The simulation validated that open discussions and negotiations with the local community or NGO by the government increased the efficacy of negotiations.

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“…In recent years, many studies have focused on uncertainty analysis of water resources, specifically for water resources management and planning [19][20][21], hydrologic modeling [22,23], distributed watershed modeling [24], decision making [25,26], water allocation [27,28], and water quality [29]. Various uncertainty analysis techniques have been developed.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Predicting Multiple Functions of Sustainable Flood Retention Basins under Uncertainty via Multi-Instance Multi-Label Learning

Yang

Boehm²,

Scholz

et al. 2015

Water

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Abstract:The ambiguity of diverse functions of sustainable flood retention basins (SFRBs) may lead to conflict and risk in water resources planning and management. How can someone provide an intuitive yet efficient strategy to uncover and distinguish the multiple potential functions of SFRBs under uncertainty? In this study, by exploiting both input and output uncertainties of SFRBs, the authors developed a new data-driven framework to automatically predict the multiple functions of SFRBs by using multi-instance multi-label (MIML) learning. A total of 372 sustainable flood retention basins, characterized by 40 variables associated with confidence levels, were surveyed in Scotland, UK. A Gaussian model with Monte Carlo sampling was used to capture the variability of variables (i.e., input OPEN ACCESSWater 2015, 7 1360 uncertainty), and the MIML-support vector machine (SVM) algorithm was subsequently applied to predict the potential functions of SFRBs that have not yet been assessed, allowing for one basin belonging to different types (i.e., output uncertainty). Experiments demonstrated that the proposed approach enables effective automatic prediction of the potential functions of SFRBs (e.g., accuracy >93%). The findings suggest that the functional uncertainty of SFRBs under investigation can be better assessed in a more comprehensive and cost-effective way, and the proposed data-driven approach provides a promising method of doing so for water resources management.

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A Monte-Carlo game theoretic approach for Multi-Criteria Decision Making under uncertainty

Cited by 165 publications

References 74 publications

A new framework for resolving conflicts over transboundary rivers using bankruptcy methods

A new framework for resolving conflicts over transboundary rivers using bankruptcy methods

A Consensus-Building Support System for Water Environment Governance Based on Multi-Criteria Decision Making

Predicting Multiple Functions of Sustainable Flood Retention Basins under Uncertainty via Multi-Instance Multi-Label Learning

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