Abstract 15612: Association Between ECG-Derived Age With Coronary Artery Calcium

Abstract

Introduction: We have previously shown that ECG-derived age (ECG-Age) predicts all-cause and cardiovascular (CV) mortality, reflecting physiologic age. We hypothesized that ECG-Age minus chronological age (Age-Gap) would be associated with coronary artery calcium (CAC) assessed by computer tomography. Methods: We developed a neural network model to predict ECG-Age using 12 lead ECGs from 399,750 training, 99,977 validation and 275,056 testing patients. We then applied the algorithm to 41,202 consecutive patients that from 1997-2020 underwent clinically indicated CAC and ECG within 1 year. Major modifiable CV risk factors were collected as part of preventive cardiology or general medical evaluations. Exclusion criteria were statin therapy, pacemakers, or history of coronary artery disease. Results: We included 41,202 subjects (68.5% males, 83.6% Caucasian), mean chronological age was 55.2±9.1 yrs and the ECG-Age was 56.01±9.3 yrs. The mean Age-Gap was -0.78±7 yrs, R 2 =0.78, p<0.0001. Mean CAC score was 140.2±532.3, and 21,483 (52%) had CAC >0. After adjustment for age and sex, those older by ECG (defined as having a positive Age-Gap) were more likely to have CAC>0 (OR 1.35, 95% CI 1.34-2.37 for those with >1 but <2 SD of a positive Age-Gap; and OR 1.80, 95% CI 1.34-2.37 for those with ≥2 SD of a positive Age-Gap), while those younger by ECG were less likely to have any CAC (OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.57-0.87 for those with >1 but <2 SD of a negative Age-Gap; and OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.67-0.84 for those with ≥2 SD of a negative Age-Gap), respectively. This association remained significant after multivariate adjustment, Fig. A and increased with CAC burden, Fig. B , all P for trend <0.01. Conclusions: The difference between physiologic AI-ECG age and chronologic age, something likely representing rate of biological aging, is associated with presence of CAC, further supporting the hypothesis that AI-ECG age can identify people more likely to have subclinical coronary atherosclerosis.