Additions to the vascular flora of the Tyumen region, Western Siberia

Kapitonova, O. A.

doi:10.3897/abs.6.e52696

Cited by 1 publication

(1 citation statement)

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“…I. glandulifera was observed to spread with forest machinery, river gravel, and topsoil, which is used for construction projects [ 56 , 164 ], ship ballasts [ 70 ], etc. Roads and railways are also known as its dispersal vectors [ 165 , 166 ]. However, trade is the most crucial factor in the spread of invasive species [ 167 ], and, as an ornamental, this is very true for I. glandulifera.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Modeling Framework to Frame a Biological Invasion: Impatiens glandulifera in North America

Kanmaz

Şenel

Dalfes

2023

Plants

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Biological invasions are a major component of global environmental change with severe ecological and economic consequences. Since eradicating biological invaders is costly and even futile in many cases, predicting the areas under risk to take preventive measures is crucial. Impatiens glandulifera is a very aggressive and prolific invasive species and has been expanding its invasive range all across the Northern hemisphere, primarily in Europe. Although it is currently spread in the east and west of North America (in Canada and USA), studies on its fate under climate change are quite limited compared to the vast literature in Europe. Hybrid models, which integrate multiple modeling approaches, are promising tools for making projections to identify the areas under invasion risk. We developed a hybrid and spatially explicit framework by utilizing MaxEnt, one of the most preferred species distribution modeling (SDM) methods, and we developed an agent-based model (ABM) with the statistical language R. We projected the I. glandulifera invasion in North America, for the 2020–2050 period, under the RCP 4.5 scenario. Our results showed a predominant northward progression of the invasive range alongside an aggressive expansion in both currently invaded areas and interior regions. Our projections will provide valuable insights for risk assessment before the potentially irreversible outcomes emerge, considering the severity of the current state of the invasion in Europe.

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