Ambiguous definitions for baseline serum creatinine affect acute kidney diagnosis at the emergency department

Abstract

Background Acute kidney injury (AKI) incidence is increasing, however AKI is often missed at the emergency department (ED). AKI diagnosis depends on changes in kidney function by comparing a serum creatinine (SCr) measurement to a baseline value. However, it remains unclear to what extent different baseline values may affect AKI diagnosis at ED. Methods Routine care data from ED visits between 2012 and 2019 were extracted from the Utrecht Patient Oriented Database. We evaluated baseline definitions with criteria from the RIFLE, AKIN and KDIGO guidelines. We evaluated four baseline SCr definitions (lowest, most recent, mean, median), as well as five different time windows (up to 365 days prior to ED visit) to select a baseline and compared this to the first measured SCr at ED. As an outcome, we assessed AKI prevalence at ED. Results We included 47,373 ED visits with both SCr-ED and SCr-BL available. Of these, 46,100 visits had a SCr-BL from the − 365/− 7 days time window. Apart from the lowest value, AKI prevalence remained similar for the other definitions when varying the time window. The lowest value with the − 365/− 7 time window resulted in the highest prevalence (21.4%). Importantly, applying the guidelines with all criteria resulted in major differences in prevalence ranging from 5.9 to 24.0%. Conclusions AKI prevalence varies with the use of different baseline definitions in ED patients. Clinicians, as well as researchers and developers of automatic diagnostic tools should take these considerations into account when aiming to diagnose AKI in clinical and research settings.

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“…These automated systems compare a measured creatinine value against an individual's baseline value and for values consistent with AKI generate an alert. Choice of baseline creatinine can have a big effect on performance of detection algorithms, as does the time window from which baseline values are selected, as shown in several recent studies [16][17][18]. The optimal approach to choosing baseline creatinine remains an area of debate and should also consider the trade-off with shorter periods for baseline selection resulting in a greater number of people without a baseline creatinine value at all.…”