An emergency response decision matrix against terrorist attacks with improvised device in chemical clusters

Abstract

Chemical industrial areas may constitute potential targets for deliberate actions by terrorists. Terrorists having sufficient knowledge of chemical process operations or plant layout may take advantage of improvised explosive devices (IEDs) to cause major events such as fire, explosion and toxic gas dispersion with cross-border consequences in chemical clusters. Thus, an efficient cluster-wise emergency plan to enhance the promptness and efficacy of responding to such attacks is crucial. In this study, the effects of blast wave caused by IEDs are assessed and its potentiality in triggering domino scenarios are analysed. A decision tree is developed to determine the emergency level of each company within the cluster based on the attack outcomes. Furthermore, an alert notification system is set based on a decision matrix. Finally, the identified emergency levels and the alert levels are presented in form of a multi-plant decision matrix. The application of the developed methodology is demonstrated in a case study.

Identification of Safe Assembly Points in Emergencies in a Gas Refinery of the South Pars Gas Complex Using Fuzzy Logic Model

“…As a result, it is inevitable to eliminate some of them in emergency planning. Accordingly, scenarios that are more potential to occur are considered in process risk analysis (3,4).…”

“…Mahshahr Petrochemical Special Economic Zone (PETZONE) and Pars Special Economic Energy Zone (PSEEZ) have such features in Iran. The high volume of materials, process temperature and pressure conditions, and the proximity of process equipment to each other have made these areas potential points for the occurrence of major accidents and crises (4)(5)(6).…”

Risk Analysis of Islamic State (IS) Network Development in Southeast Asia Based on 3D Matrix

“…In such a situation, a country needs to carry out a strategic study to decide whether the risk significantly influences a country's stability. (Hosseinnia, et al, 2018) A possibility of imminent threats or attacks on assets in a country must be immediately communicated throughout the ASEAN region to determine the appropriate security response and to enhance the protection of the target assets and make it difficult for the terrorist to endanger these assets (Table 4).…”

Modeling the effect of emergency response on domino effects in the coal gasification process by fuzzy hierarchical analysis and Bayesian network

“…Actually, different types of safety barriers can effectively delay or prevent the situation from escalating [1,2]. Therefore, some scholars have done research on the performance of safety barriers in preventing domino effects, such as quantitative evaluation of safety barrier performance to mitigate fire domino effects [3][4][5], and emergency response to prevent escalation of accidents [6].…”