An Evaluation of Border Management Reforms in a Technical Agency

Abstract

The Policy Research Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about development issues. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. The papers carry the names of the authors and should be cited accordingly. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/World Bank and its affiliated organizations, or those of the Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent.

Risk management in border inspection

“…Another central component of reform is the adoption of advanced IT systems. 14 These systems facilitate risk management in a number of ways. First, they allow reliable electronic storage and fast recall of detailed information on past inspection activity and outcomes.…”

“…The right-hand side of inequality(14) is decreasing in both s l and L (recall p(s l ) ≡ F (s l L)). With the relatively low levels of search activity observed in Serbian customs (which results in low levels of search intensity), we need a high level of L for the calibration to satisfy inequality(14).…”

“…The right-hand side of inequality(14) is decreasing in both s l and L (recall p(s l ) ≡ F (s l L)). With the relatively low levels of search activity observed in Serbian customs (which results in low levels of search intensity), we need a high level of L for the calibration to satisfy inequality(14). In other words, we need to have high levels of compliance with low levels of search activity, which can be achieved with a hefty non-compliance cost.57 In an earlier draft of the paper, we set b = 0.01 and L = 10. these are both scale parameters, and any ratio of b/L that is constant produces the same model outcomes.…”

Development Research in Practice: The DIME Analytics Data Handbook

“…When a data set is listed in the data linkage table, which should be done before the data set is acquired, it is important to ensure that the data will be fully and uniquely identified by the project ID or to plan how the new data set will be linked to the project ID. Working with a data set that does not have an unambiguous link to the project ID is very labor-intensive and a major source of error (for an example of credible matching across data sets in the absence of a unique ID, see Fernandes, Hillberry, and Mendoza Alcántara 2017).…”

Risk Management in Border Inspection

“…Prior to a reform, analysis of available data on inspections often finds very high rates of inspection, paired with relatively low rates of failed inspections. 10 These outcomes jointly suggest that not only are there too many inspections, but also that they are poorly targeted. The absence of coordinated risk assessment may mean that one source of poor targeting is heterogeneous priors -across individual inspectors or across inspection teams located at different control points -about conditional probabilities of non-compliance.…”