An Introduction to Prospective Multiple Attribute Decision Making (Pmadm)

Abstract

Abstract. In recent years futures science has received a great deal of attention and has gained worldwide credibility in the science community as the science of tomorrows. The countless applications of futures studies in various fields have been a major breakthrough for mankind. Undoubtedly, decision making is one of the most significant aspects of shaping the future and an integral part of any credible future research. Multiple Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) in general and Multiple Attribute Decision Making in particular (MADM), are among the most remarkable subparts of the decision making process. The most recent model developed using the MADM method is the Dynamic MADM. The model does not specifically concentrate on the future actions and approaches and remains to be fully explored. This research presents a new concept and a new approach in the MADM field which is called the Prospective Multiple Attribute Decision Making (PMADM). The PMADM model can very well cover the DMADM concept but instead chooses to focus on future topics. The study also introduces two new approaches. The first research aims to elaborate the basis of this model and then evolves to deal with the future limiters as they potentially pop up and change the course of future actions. The new model based on future limiters is separated and categorized into two sections; one of which is looked upon without the probabilities rate and the other one with the probabilities rate. This approach is deemed priceless due to its major applicability in the ranking of the MADM methods such as: TOPSIS, VIKOR, COPRAS, ARAS, WASPAS and etc. Finally, a case study with the various applications of PMADM model in WASPAS methodology is put forth and illustrated.

New Model for Portfolio Selection; Based on Future Approach (SFMADM)

“…This simple fact begs the question of how it is possible to insert these probable changes in the future to our decision making process (Scenario-based approach). To do so, few researchers have proposed new methods, like PMADM 4 [16] and SPM 5 [17]. With this regard, we intend to implement a project portfolio selection by using a foresight approach in an IT-based corporation.…”

“…As it was mentioned, this paper intends to apply a foresight approach for choosing the best project portfolios and this objective will be pursued by using an extension of PMADM [16]. In order to incorporate future studies into the MADM models, generally speaking, two approaches can be implemented, namely identification of future limiters with the aid of experts' opinions, and determining future scenarios based on scenario planning workshops [16].…”

“…In order to incorporate future studies into the MADM models, generally speaking, two approaches can be implemented, namely identification of future limiters with the aid of experts' opinions, and determining future scenarios based on scenario planning workshops [16]. Future limiters are usually limited to local matters for the corporation, like the budget limitation, human resources limitation and so on.…”

Madm and Futures Studies; A Necessity

“…Prospective MADM (Hashemkhani Zolfani et al 2016b) has introduced lately with a completely new idea about applying future thinking in the decision making process. It can be considered just what PMADM is and how does it work presented in a research study.…”

“…Hashemkhani Zolfani et al (2016b) presented a new perspective and sub-field in MADM framework. Dynamic MADM (DMADM) has been developing during the last decade woth different approaches and perspectives.…”