2022
DOI: 10.3390/f13040554
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Analysis of Current and Future Forest Disturbances Dynamics in Central Europe

Abstract: The area of forests and the standing volume per hectare are constantly increasing in Europe, and this trend is expected to continue for several more decades; the aim of this paper was to provide an empirical overview of the development of disturbances in selected countries of central Europe and based on this overview to empirically model and predict the development and intensity of disturbances in the future. Statistical methods (Holt–Winters) and predictive risk models of the growth simulator SIBYLA were used… Show more

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Cited by 3 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…The relationship between natural influences, climate change, European policies, and the geopolitical situation in the world enters and significantly influences the market environment in unpredictable cycles. In Central Europe, this period spans between 2015 and 2020 and has relatively the same wide-ranging consequences [24] and accompanying characteristics in the Central European landscapes we have analysed. The current problems with the huge volume of calamitous timber concentrated in Central Europe open up many other problems, the solution of which must be based on empirical facts and data.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 91%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…The relationship between natural influences, climate change, European policies, and the geopolitical situation in the world enters and significantly influences the market environment in unpredictable cycles. In Central Europe, this period spans between 2015 and 2020 and has relatively the same wide-ranging consequences [24] and accompanying characteristics in the Central European landscapes we have analysed. The current problems with the huge volume of calamitous timber concentrated in Central Europe open up many other problems, the solution of which must be based on empirical facts and data.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 91%
“…Increased wood harvesting is becoming a highly debated topic not only at the political level but also in the scientific community, as also indicated by studies [16,19,20]. In the papers published so far, the authors tend to analyse selected types of disturbances [21,22], analyse historical links and predict the future development of disturbances [5,23,24], or focus on data only at the level of a selected region, such as in [25,26], without considering the international context of the problem and the macroeconomic context.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Accordingly, biocrusts could make a significant contribution. Considering the large extent of biocrust colonization in managed mesic environments, and these areas’ projected expansion due to climate change (Gejdoš & Michajlová, 2022; Senf & Seidl, 2021), further studies will be necessary to evaluate their contributions to ecosystem services and global relevance (Ferrenberg et al., 2017). Interdisciplinary physical, biological, microbiological, chemical, and applied soil research will be indispensable in understanding the development and influence of biocrusts in mesic and anthropogenically impacted environments.…”
Section: Outlook: Biocrusts’ Potential To Mitigate Climate Change In ...mentioning
confidence: 99%