Analysis of future changes in the trends and scaling coefficients for short-term rainfall in southwestern Slovakia

Abstract

The study focuses on an analysis of the future changes in short-term rainfall in the southwestern region of Slovakia. The analysis was performed for three climatological stations, i.e. Bratislava-Koliba, Gabčíkovo and Sereď, where short-term rainfall intensities with durations of 60 to 1440 minutes were analyzed using historical observations and future regional climate models. The study focuses on detecting changes in rainfall trends and changes in the values of the scaling coefficients. In final, there is a comparison of the design values of short-term rainfall derived for a future horizon with historical observations and the conclusion that rainfall intensities in the region analyzed will increase in the future and that this should be taken into consideration when designing water structures to ensure their safety.

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