Analysis of the effects of climatic factors on flood peak formation

Bukovskiy, M. E.; Семенова, А.В.

doi:10.1088/1755-1315/386/1/012034

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 15 publications

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“…Державина. Авторским коллективом решаются комплексные задачи по изучению агроклиматических, водных и земельных ресурсов Тамбовской области [7,8].…”

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Морфометрический Анализ Структуры Рельефа Первомайского Района Тамбовской Области

БУКОВСКИЙ,

КУЗЬМИН

2023

Материалы XIV Международной Ландшафтной Конференции

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На примере территорий муниципальных образований Первомайского района Тамбовской области представлены результаты расчёта морфометрических параметров рельефа: среднего уклона, вертикальной расчленённости, густоты речной сети. Рассматриваемые показатели важны с точки зрения хозяйственной оценки территорий, формирования устойчивого землепользования.

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Морфометрический Анализ Структуры Рельефа Первомайского Района Тамбовской Области

БУКОВСКИЙ,

КУЗЬМИН

2023

Материалы XIV Международной Ландшафтной Конференции

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Water consumption in the territory of the Muchkapsky municipal district in Tambov

Chernova,

Bukovskiy

2024

BIO Web Conf.

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The article presents the results of calculating the water consumption per year of 75% availability and during the growing season from May to September on the borders of village councils for the Muchkapsky municipal district of the Tambov region. The calculation was carried out over a 60-year period. The current article presents schematic maps for one municipal district, selected as a vivid example of displaying various degrees of water availability. For the first time, river runoff resources were calculated for each month of the growing season for the entire territory of the Tambov region. Maps-schemes of provision of rural areas of the Tambov region with river flow resources will allow water users to estimate the permissible volumes of water for economic use on the territory of each village council. Based on the existing classifications of water availability, the authors have compiled their own classification, which makes it possible to distribute the territories of rural councils in the year of 75% provision by categories of water availability. Thus, in a year 75% of the provision of the Muchkap municipal district has 75% of the territories with very high water availability and only 12.5% of the territories of the Muchkap municipal district belong to the categories with extremely low and low water availability. The conducted research allows us to conclude that, in general, the territory of the Muchkap municipal district for the most part allows for industrial water intake by local enterprises.

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The efficiency assessment of short-term maximum flood level forecast methodology in the upper and middle course of the Tsna river

Dudnik,

Bukovskiy,

Semenova

2024

Vestn. Ross. univ. družby nar., Ser. Èkol. bezop. žiznedeât.

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A significant rise in water levels in the rivers during the spring flood and the release of rivers to the floodplain is the main danger in this period for nearby territories and people living there. This phenomenon can lead to flooding of large areas, significant economic losses, environmental damage, and threaten the health and life of local residents. Such negative consequences of high floods are typical for the Tambov region rivers, which indicates the need to develop an effective system for forecasting and preventing maximum flood levels. The climatic changes that have taken place over the past few decades, which are also reflected in the rivers’ water regime, show the need to modernize existing forecasting methodologies. In this paper, the authors have demonstrated the results of the effectiveness assessment of the existing methodology for short-term forecasting of the maximum flood level on the Tsna River at two gauging stations (“Kuzmino-Gat” and “Tambov”). Calculations were made using modern data in accordance with this methodology and a comparative analysis was carried out with the calculations of previous years. Based on this analysis, an assessment of the flood levels forecast methodology accuracy was given. According to the study results, it was found that the existing methodology for short-term forecasting of the maximum flood level on the Tsna River is largely ineffective nowadays with regard to modern conditions of spring flood runoff formation. In the analysis of the Kuzmino-Gat gauging station, the values of the maximum flood levels obtained by the reanalysis method according to the tested methodology using modern data showed significant deviations from the actual observed values. At the same time, for the operational forecast of maximum water levels at the Tambov gauging station, it is possible to use the correlation dependence with the observed water levels at the Kuzmino-Gat gauging station, as before. The correlation coefficient with modern data was 0.96. The authors have highlighted the main drawbacks of the existing methodology and made suggestions for improvement, in particular, what factors need to be analyzed in order to clarify the forecast.

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Analysis of the effects of climatic factors on flood peak formation

Cited by 3 publications

References 15 publications

Морфометрический Анализ Структуры Рельефа Первомайского Района Тамбовской Области

Морфометрический Анализ Структуры Рельефа Первомайского Района Тамбовской Области

Water consumption in the territory of the Muchkapsky municipal district in Tambov

The efficiency assessment of short-term maximum flood level forecast methodology in the upper and middle course of the Tsna river

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