2017
DOI: 10.1111/fima.12175
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Analyst Forecast Accuracy and Media Independence

Abstract: Using a large international sample of 47,307 firm‐years from 52 countries, we investigate the impact of media independence on the forecast quality of financial analysts. We find that analyst forecast errors are positively associated with the extent of a country's state media ownership and its lack of freedom of the press. We also find that financial analysts with more inaccurate forecasts disappear from the institutional broker's estimate system more quickly in countries with more independent media.

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Cited by 14 publications
(9 citation statements)
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“…For studies of analysts' forecast accuracy, see Jacob, Lys, and Neale (1999), Clement (1999), Kini et al (2009), Sonney (2009), Bradley, Gokkaya, and Liu (2016), and Kim, Li, and Zhang (2017). We corroborate a negative relation between industry diversification and accuracy in the Appendix.…”
supporting
confidence: 72%
“…For studies of analysts' forecast accuracy, see Jacob, Lys, and Neale (1999), Clement (1999), Kini et al (2009), Sonney (2009), Bradley, Gokkaya, and Liu (2016), and Kim, Li, and Zhang (2017). We corroborate a negative relation between industry diversification and accuracy in the Appendix.…”
supporting
confidence: 72%
“…‐B. Kim et al., 2017; You et al., 2018). More specifically, such an environment incentivizes journalists and the media industry to disseminate news and share unrestricted perspectives without fear of repercussion, which, in turn, improves outsiders’ attention.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…‐B. Kim et al., 2017) has mainly focused on the cross‐sectional country level instead of the firm level. This focus may be due to the fact that the variation of media freedom within each country is relatively challenging to study over time.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Hence, the independence of the media, especially political independence, is important in order to preserve the unbiased coverage of events in all fields of life [15,16]. Being, and staying, independent is especially grounded in the stable financing of operations, without pressure from lower financial resources [17,18].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%