Assessing climate change risks in agricultural nature management

Abstract

The increasing sensitivity to climate change is leading to a reset in the understanding of sustainable development towards enhancing climate neutrality and rational environmental management. Identifying the risks of climate change in agricultural natural resource management necessitates the introduction of effective climate-neutral innovations. In this regard, the article is devoted to defining the peculiarities of agricultural development under martial law and transition to a low-carbon economy, applying an integrated approach to assessing the impact of climate change on agricultural natural resources, and forming a matrix for assessing the risks of climate change in agricultural natural resources. The application of an integrated approach to the introduction of climate-neutral innovations in agricultural natural resource management is based on a comprehensive analysis of the interaction between climate change and the development of agricultural natural resource management. In order to assess the risks of climate change in agricultural natural resource management, an important step is to identify climate impact factors (temperature changes, precipitation changes, extreme weather events, growing season, changes in yields, risks of crop losses). It has been established that the largest climatic factors of influence on agricultural natural resource use are temperature change and precipitation change, which cause the highest level of risks in agricultural natural resource use (impact on vegetation, yield, impact on irrigation). Prospects for further research are to develop a mechanism for introducting climate-neutral innovations in the agricultural natural resource management.