Assessing Major Accident Risks to Support Land‐Use Planning Using a Severity‐Vulnerability Combination Method: A Case Study in Dagushan Peninsula, China

Abstract

Major accident risks posed by chemical hazards have raised major social concerns in today's China. Land-use planning has been adopted by many countries as one of the essential elements for accident prevention. This article aims at proposing a method to assess major accident risks to support land-use planning in the vicinity of chemical installations. This method is based on the definition of risk by the Accidental Risk Assessment Methodology for IndustrieS (ARAMIS) project and it is an expansion application of severity and vulnerability assessment tools. The severity and vulnerability indexes from the ARAMIS methodology are employed to assess both the severity and vulnerability levels, respectively. A risk matrix is devised to support risk ranking and compatibility checking. The method consists of four main steps and is presented in geographical information-system-based maps. As an illustration, the proposed method is applied in Dagushan Peninsula, China. The case study indicated that the method could not only aid risk regulations on existing land-use planning, but also support future land-use planning by offering alternatives or influencing the plans at the development stage, and thus further enhance the roles and influence of land-use planning in the accident prevention activities in China.

Risk assessment for handling hazardous substances within the European industry: Available methodologies and research streams

“…The methodology proposed by Ma et al. (2015) was based on the ARAMIS project and consisted of the simultaneous analysis of the severity of the major accidents and the vulnerability of the surrounding environment; hence, both severity and vulnerability indexes were used in the LUP practice. Török et al.…”

“…Ale et al (1999), for example, presented a methodology based on performance criteria to evaluate the factors influencing the societal risks when a new LUP is implemented, whereas Laheij et al (2000) dealt with the societal risks by adopting a distance density figures (DDFs) approach. The methodology proposed by Ma et al (2015) was based on the ARAMIS project and consisted of the simultaneous analysis of the severity of the major accidents and the vulnerability of the surrounding environment; hence, both severity and vulnerability indexes were used in the LUP practice. Török et al (2011) focused the analysis instead on the safety distance in LPU when fires and flammable hazardous materials are involved, whereas Papazoglou et al (2000) presented a multicriteria methodology for supporting the decision-making process in LUP.…”

Risk Analysis of Fire and Explosion of Hydrogen-Gasoline Hybrid Refueling Station Based on Accident Risk Assessment Method for Industrial System

“…ARAMIS is a valuable method to analyze the integrated risk of a system, and it has been widely utilized in risk analysis of complex systems such as chemical industry parks and large storage tanks [44][45][46][47]. It needs to quantify the intensity of the energy source release and the vulnerability of the system within the impact range to quantify the severity of the accident consequences, combine it with the probability of the accident occurring, and thus quantify the specific risk values.…”