Automated Speech Analysis for Risk Detection of Depression, Anxiety, Insomnia, and Fatigue: Algorithm Development and Validation Study

Abstract

Background While speech analysis holds promise for mental health assessment, research often focuses on single symptoms, despite symptom co-occurrences and interactions. In addition, predictive models in mental health do not properly assess the limitations of speech-based systems, such as uncertainty, or fairness for a safe clinical deployment. Objective We investigated the predictive potential of mobile-collected speech data for detecting and estimating depression, anxiety, fatigue, and insomnia, focusing on other factors than mere accuracy, in the general population. Methods We included 865 healthy adults and recorded their answers regarding their perceived mental and sleep states. We asked how they felt and if they had slept well lately. Clinically validated questionnaires measuring depression, anxiety, insomnia, and fatigue severity were also used. We developed a novel speech and machine learning pipeline involving voice activity detection, feature extraction, and model training. We automatically modeled speech with pretrained deep learning models that were pretrained on a large, open, and free database, and we selected the best one on the validation set. Based on the best speech modeling approach, clinical threshold detection, individual score prediction, model uncertainty estimation, and performance fairness across demographics (age, sex, and education) were evaluated. We used a train-validation-test split for all evaluations: to develop our models, select the best ones, and assess the generalizability of held-out data. Results The best model was Whisper M with a max pooling and oversampling method. Our methods achieved good detection performance for all symptoms, depression (Patient Health Questionnaire-9: area under the curve [AUC]=0.76; F1-score=0.49 and Beck Depression Inventory: AUC=0.78; F1-score=0.65), anxiety (Generalized Anxiety Disorder 7-item scale: AUC=0.77; F1-score=0.50), insomnia (Athens Insomnia Scale: AUC=0.73; F1-score=0.62), and fatigue (Multidimensional Fatigue Inventory total score: AUC=0.68; F1-score=0.88). The system performed well when it needed to abstain from making predictions, as demonstrated by low abstention rates in depression detection with the Beck Depression Inventory and fatigue, with risk-coverage AUCs below 0.4. Individual symptom scores were accurately predicted (correlations were all significant with Pearson strengths between 0.31 and 0.49). Fairness analysis revealed that models were consistent for sex (average disparity ratio [DR] 0.86, SD 0.13), to a lesser extent for education level (average DR 0.47, SD 0.30), and worse for age groups (average DR 0.33, SD 0.30). Conclusions This study demonstrates the potential of speech-based systems for multifaceted mental health assessment in the general population, not only for detecting clinical thresholds but also for estimating their severity. Addressing fairness and incorporating uncertainty estimation with selective classification are key contributions that can enhance the clinical utility and responsible implementation of such systems.