Backcasting and econometrics for sustainable planningInformation technology and individual preferences of travel

Robèrt, Markus

doi:10.1016/s0959-6526(04)00066-6

Cited by 10 publications

(10 citation statements)

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“…This framework has since been elaborated and refined in theory [12,[25][26][27] as well as practiced in many organizations and sectors such as Electrolux and IKEA [25], Interface, Scandic Hotels and Collins Pine [28], Hydro Polymers [29], regions and municipalities [30,31], Agriculture [32,33], and transport systems [34]. This framework has also been applied 2 While the methodology has been implicitly used for centuries, in war strategy for example [18], it was not until Robinson´s 1987 publication and his as well as Dreborg´s subsequent work that established this term as a methodology, applied to date mostly in energy and environmental work [14].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Exploring the possibility of a systematic and generic approach to social sustainability

Missimer

Robért

Broman

et al. 2010

Journal of Cleaner Production

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There is a growing need to understand how existing concepts and tools for sustainability relate to each other and to a robust, trans-disciplinary systems perspective for sustainability. As a response, a group of scientists, including some of the authors, have developed a framework based on backcasting from sustainability principles over the last 20 years -the Framework for Strategic Sustainable Development (FSSD), also known as The Natural Step Framework. The intent of this study is to scrutinize the existing framework as regards its social dimension. The study demonstrates dichotomies and lack of robustness and proposes a way forward to make the social dimension of the FSSD more cohesive as well as operational.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Exploring the possibility of a systematic and generic approach to social sustainability

Missimer

Robért

Broman

et al. 2010

Journal of Cleaner Production

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“…Robinson (1982) coined the term "energy backcasting." Backcasting is applicable when the desired future is far away from forecasts of an expected future (Robèrt 2005). It is particularly useful when long-range scenarios are desired which go beyond the scope of forecasts (Wegener 1996).…”

Section: Backcastingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Evaluating a Complex and Uncertain Future

Becker

2011

World Futures

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Social systems are emergent complex systems that are prone to uncertainty and change. Complexity and uncertainty increase the difficulty of evaluating for sustainability. However, backcasting from visions of sustainability using indicators that are positively correlated to principles of sustainability allows for congruence and complexity in achieving the vision. This article presents a model of how this can be done using Causal Layered Analysis and the Ecological Framework. Reiterating the evaluation and visioning process allows for indicators to accommodate change while remaining relevant to sustainability principles.

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“…Backcasting was first proposed by Lovins (1976) as an alternative planning technique for electricity supply and demand, and the term 'energy backcasting' was coined by Robinson (1982). Backcasting has since been applied to diverse applications (Höjer and Mattsson 2000;Robèrt et al 1997;Quist et al 2001;Robèrt 2005;Ahlroth and Höjer 2007). It has also been applied to participatory approaches, such as the debate on climate change (Van de Kerkhof 2004) and in urban studies (Carlsson-Kanyama et al 2003).…”

Section: Backcasting To Achieve Sustainabilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…It has also been applied to participatory approaches, such as the debate on climate change (Van de Kerkhof 2004) and in urban studies (Carlsson-Kanyama et al 2003). Backcasting is applicable when the desired future is far away from forecasts of an expected future (Robèrt 2005). It is recommended as a tool for businesses because it can avoid unnecessary costs and risks by 'departing from present unsustainable extrapolations to achieve new goals and define new conditions proactively' (Holmberg and Robèrt 2000, p. 295).…”

Section: Backcasting To Achieve Sustainabilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Use of backcasting to integrate indicators with principles of sustainability

Becker¹

2010

International Journal of Sustainable Development & World Ec

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There are innumerable indicators that can be used to evaluate sustainable development and these can serve to inform and guide progress. However, they are often selected without considering their effect on each other and the achievement of sustainability. Indeed, two decades after the definition of sustainable development, there is still little agreement on principles of sustainability, nor the indicators to represent them. Part of the difficulty lies in working from a present unsustainable state to an uncertain future horizon. An alternative is to apply backcasting, which starts from a desired outcome and develops scenarios for achieving it. This paper presents a framework of sustainability principles to help operationalize indicators and increase their relevance. It outlines how this can be done using backcasting to evaluate existing indicators or to select those that relate positively to the framework principles. Although there is no formula for achieving sustainability, this process provides a format for discussion in selecting indicators and in ensuring their continued relevance to sustainable development progress.

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Backcasting and econometrics for sustainable planningInformation technology and individual preferences of travel

Cited by 10 publications

References 0 publications

Exploring the possibility of a systematic and generic approach to social sustainability

Exploring the possibility of a systematic and generic approach to social sustainability

Evaluating a Complex and Uncertain Future

Use of backcasting to integrate indicators with principles of sustainability

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