Ballistic limit curve regression for Freedom Station orbital debris shields

The overall risk for any spacecraft system is typically determined using a Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA). A PRA determines the overall risk associated with a particular mission by factoring in all known risks to the spacecraft during its mission. The threat to mission and human life posed by the mircro-meteoroid and orbital debris (MMOD) environment is one of the risks. NASA uses the BUMPER II program to provide point estimate predictions of MMOD risk for the Space Shuttle and the ISS. However, BUMPER II does not provide uncertainty bounds or confidence intervals for its predictions. In this paper, we present possible approaches through which uncertainty bounds can be developed for the various damage prediction and ballistic limit equations encoded within the Shuttle and Station versions of BUMPER II.

show abstract

Ballistic limit curve regression for Freedom Station orbital debris shields

Cited by 4 publications

References 0 publications

Effect of multi-layer thermal insulation thickness and location on the hypervelocity impact response of dual-wall structures

Effect of multi-layer thermal insulation thickness and location on the hypervelocity impact response of dual-wall structures

Protecting spacecraft against orbital debris impact damage using composite materials

Uncertainty Considerations for Ballistic Limit Equations for Aerospace Structural Systems

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About