Abstract. Vegetation is an important component in global ecosystems, affecting the
physical, hydrological and biogeochemical properties of the land
surface. Accordingly, the way vegetation is parameterized strongly influences
predictions of future climate by Earth system models. To capture future
spatial and temporal changes in vegetation cover and its feedbacks to the
climate system, dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) are included as
important components of land surface models. Variation in the predicted
vegetation cover from DGVMs therefore has large impacts on modelled radiative
and non-radiative properties, especially over high-latitude regions. DGVMs are
mostly evaluated by remotely sensed products and less often by other vegetation
products or by in situ field observations. In this study, we evaluate the
performance of three methods for spatial representation of present-day
vegetation cover with respect to prediction of plant functional type (PFT)
profiles – one based upon distribution models (DMs), one that uses a remote
sensing (RS) dataset and a DGVM (CLM4.5BGCDV; Community Land Model 4.5 Bio-Geo-Chemical cycles and Dynamical Vegetation). While DGVMs predict PFT
profiles based on physiological and ecological processes, a DM relies on
statistical correlations between a set of predictors and the modelled target,
and the RS dataset is based on classification of spectral reflectance patterns
of satellite images. PFT profiles obtained from an independently collected
field-based vegetation dataset from Norway were used for the evaluation. We
found that RS-based PFT profiles matched the reference dataset best, closely
followed by DM, whereas predictions from DGVMs often deviated strongly from the
reference. DGVM predictions overestimated the area covered by boreal
needleleaf evergreen trees and bare ground at the expense of boreal broadleaf
deciduous trees and shrubs. Based on environmental predictors identified by DM
as important, three new environmental variables (e.g. minimum temperature in
May, snow water equivalent in October and precipitation seasonality) were
selected as the threshold for the establishment of these high-latitude
PFTs. We performed a series of sensitivity experiments to investigate if these
thresholds improve the performance of the DGVM method. Based on our results, we
suggest implementation of one of these novel PFT-specific thresholds (i.e.
precipitation seasonality) in the DGVM method. The results highlight the potential of
using PFT-specific thresholds obtained by DM in development of DGVMs in
broader regions. Also, we emphasize the potential of establishing DMs as a
reliable method for providing PFT distributions for evaluation of DGVMs
alongside RS.