Can Countries Buy Their Way Out of Insurgencies? Evidence from Iraq.

Shaver, Andrew

doi:10.2139/ssrn.2304983

Cited by 1 publication

(2 citation statements)

References 15 publications

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“…At the same time, this aid program improved attitudes toward the Afghan government, even though opportunity cost models would not predict such an effect (Beath, Christia, and Enikolopov 2012), leading the authors to conclude that their findings are more consistent with the informational model of COIN than with an opportunity cost approach. Evidence of a negative effect of business revitalization initiatives in Iraq on violence is consistent with both the opportunity cost model and an informational theory of COIN (Shaver 2013).…”

Section: Opportunity Cost Theoriessupporting

confidence: 68%

“…Data are available on the location, project type, amount spent, date, and duration of each project. In addition, the US Army Contracting Business Intelligence System contains data on contractual obligations with Iraqi vendors under the Iraqi First program, a local business revitalization initiative, between 2007 and 2011 (Shaver 2013).…”

Section: Future Research Potentialmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Lessons on Political Violence from America’s Post–9/11 Wars

Mikulaschek

Shapiro

2016

Journal of Conflict Resolution

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A large literature has emerged in political science that studies the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. This article summarizes the lessons learned from this literature, both theoretical and practical. To put this emerging knowledge base into perspective, we review findings along two dimensions of conflict: factors influencing whether states or substate groups enter into conflict in the first place and variables affecting the intensity of fighting at particular times and places once war has started. We then discuss the external validity issues entailed in learning about contemporary wars and insurgencies from research focused on the Afghanistan and Iraq wars during the period of US involvement. We close by summarizing the uniquely rich qualitative and quantitative data on these wars (both publicly available and what likely exists but has not been released) and outline potential avenues for future research.

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Section: Opportunity Cost Theoriessupporting

confidence: 68%

Section: Future Research Potentialmentioning

confidence: 99%