Capturing Crime at the Micro-place: A Spatial Approach to Inform Buffer Size

Biasi, Alaina De; Circo, Giovanni

doi:10.1007/s10940-020-09488-0

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 109 publications

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“…However, this limits our ability to observe associations that might occur at a more micro-level. Previous studies have found protective associations with demolition proximal to the demolition site (at the parcel or within 350 to 700 feet) [ 3 , 27 ]. Although our modeling decisions sought to maximize opportunities for observing effects by exploring large doses over a relatively short time interval, our geographic unit may have been too large to identify the effects reported elsewhere [ 5 , 6 , 7 ].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Crime and Building Rehabilitation or Demolition: A Dose-Response Analysis

Smirniotis

Henderson

Bailey

et al. 2022

IJERPH

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Thousands of buildings in Cleveland, Ohio were demolished or rehabilitated since the Great Recession in the 2000s. Recent evidence suggests removing vacant and decaying buildings reduces violent and firearm-involved crime. This study examines the dose-response relationship between demolitions, rehabilitations, and crime. We use Bayesian spatiotemporal models to estimate the association of interest for five types of crime outcomes: violent crimes, violent crimes involving a firearm, drug crimes, and crimes often associated with building vacancy. We estimate associations in quarterly time periods from 2012 through 2017 in 569 hexagons approximately the size of a neighborhood (2000 feet, approximately 610 m, in diameter), stratified by vacancy level. Across vacancy levels, the majority of our models do not identify statistically significant associations between demolition and rehabilitation dose and crime incidence. However, in some cases, we identify positive associations between demolition and crime. These associations generally appeared at higher levels of demolition (2 or 3 or more demolitions) in areas characterized by medium to high levels of vacancy. We also find that the presence of a property rehabilitation is associated with an increase in drug crimes in areas with medium levels of vacancy.

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