Carbon sequestration and land management under uncertainty

Krcmar, Emina; Stennes, Brad; Kooten, G. Cornelis van; Vertinsky, Ilan

doi:10.1016/s0377-2217(00)00326-x

Cited by 41 publications

(22 citation statements)

References 15 publications

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“…Several studies address this challenge and apply techniques and approaches of relevance to multi-functionality (e.g. Albers 1996;Weintraub and Bare 1996;Creedy and Wurzbacher 2001;Krcmar et al 2001;Bulte et al 2002;Zhou and Gong 2004;Fernandez 2005;Gong et al 2005;McCarthy and Lindenmayer 2007;Ananda and Herath 2009;Heller and Zavaleta 2009). In the present review, just 15% of the studies emphasised climate change and associated risk considering non-timber forest products and services like biodiversity, carbon, water, amenity values and recreation.…”

Section: Impacts In Focus Of Risk Analysesmentioning

confidence: 97%

A review of decision-making approaches to handle uncertainty and risk in adaptive forest management under climate change

Yousefpour

Jacobsen

Thorsen

et al. 2011

Annals of Forest Science

183

141

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Abstract• Context This review paper provides an overview of approaches to which we may resort for handling the complex decision problems involving uncertainty and risk that climate change implies for forest managers. Modelling approaches that could support adaptive management strategies seem to be called for, not only as climate change denotes increased economic uncertainty but also because new and more reliable information becomes available as time passes and climate changes.• Aims The paper (1) provides a broad overview of state-ofthe-art methods for optimal decision making under risk and uncertainty in forestry and (2) elaborates on the possible use of these methods in adaptive forest management under climate change.

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Section: Impacts In Focus Of Risk Analysesmentioning

confidence: 97%

A review of decision-making approaches to handle uncertainty and risk in adaptive forest management under climate change

Yousefpour

Jacobsen

Thorsen

et al. 2011

Annals of Forest Science

183

141

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“…Furthermore, Krcmar et al (2001), Keles and Başkent (2007) and Başkent et al (2008) demonstrated that reforestation of forest openings, especially in early periods, guarantees high amount of biomass and carbon storage in spite of high costs of reforestation. As such, the forest openings have great impact on the forest dynamics as reforestation of almost all forest openings provide positive effects on the sequestrated carbon.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Incorporating water production and carbon sequestration into forest management planning: a case study in Yalnızçcam planning unit

Başkent¹,

Küçüker²

2010

For. syst.

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Sustainable management of forest resources requires smart integration of various forest values into forest management plans both to control forest ecosystems and to satisfy the needs and expectations of stakeholders. This research initiative aimed to integrate water, carbon and timber values into a forest management plan and explain their effects on forest dynamics. Alternative management strategies with a mix of management objectives maximizing the amount or NPV (Net Present Value) of timber, carbon and water production along with constraints such as area, volume control and ending inventory were developed. A linear programming model with a planning horizon of 100 years and periods of 10 years was developed. Model outputs as NPV and amounts of timber, water and carbon were used as performance indicators to discuss forest dynamics under various management strategies. The results showed that water NPV aimed strategies (*W) provided the minimum timber production and the maximum water production level. Besides, even though timber NPV aimed strategies (*T) generated maximum NPV of timber as expected, surprisingly maximum timber and carbon production were provided by carbon NPV aimed strategies (*C) due mainly to afforestation of large forest openings in the case study area. The results indicated that the performance of a management strategy depends highly on the contents of a strategy as well as the initial forest structure aside from the growth rate.Key words: linear programming, carbon sequestration, water production, forest management, net present value. ResumenIncorporación de la producción de agua y el secuestro de carbono en los planes de gestión forestal: estudio de caso en la unidad de planificación de Yalnızçcam La gestión sostenible de los recursos forestales requiere la integración de varios valores del bosque en los planes de gestion forestal tanto para controlar los ecosistemas forestales como para satisfacer las necesidades y expectativas de los grupos de interés. Este artículo pretende integrar los valores del agua, el carbono y de la madera en un plan de gestión forestal y explicar sus efectos en la dinámica forestal. Se han desarrollado estrategias de gestión alternativas con una mezcla de objetivos de gestión de maximizar la cantidad de NPV (Valor Actual Neto) de madera, carbono y producción de agua junto a limitaciones como la superficie, el control del volumen y la finalización del inventario. Se ha desarrollado un modelo de programación lineal con un horizonte de planificación de 100 años y períodos de 10 años. Las salidas del modelo tales como el NPV y las cantidades de la madera, el agua y el carbono se usaron como indicadores de comportamiento para analizar la dinámica forestal conforme a varias estrategias de gestión. Los resultados mostraron que las estraegias enfocadas al NPV del agua (*W) proporcionan la mínima producción de madera y el máximo nivel de producción de agua. Además, aunque la estrategia enfocada al NPV de la madera (*T) generan un máximo de NPV como se esperaba, sorp...

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“…The functional relationships between the value of water and carbon and the forest structure has to be quantified to prepare a multiple use forest management plans (Krcmar et al, 2001). This study employed empirical models, representing the relations with the basal area, to measure the performance of a management strategy.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Some studies have developed forest management models to incorporate some forest values such as amenity, recreation, soil protection, carbon sequestration and biodiversity into forest management plans (Kangas and Kuusipalo, 1993;Pukkala et al, 1995;Hof and Bevers, 2000;Bertomeu and Romero, 2001;Krcmar et al, 2001;Díaz-Balteiro and Romero, 2003;Başkent et al, 2008a;Karahalil et al, 2009a). However, these studies have used current forest inventory data and generally focused on the broad level characterization of forest ecosystems such as age class structure or stand types to predict the interactions among forest ecosystem values.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Forecasting forest development through modeling based on the legacy of forest structure over the past 43 years

Başkent

Çelįk

2013

For. syst.

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Aim of study: Sustainable management of forest ecosystems requires comprehensive coverage of data to reflect both the historical legacy and the future development of forests. This study focuses on analyzing the spatio-temporal dynamics of forests over the past 43 years to help better forecast the future development of forest under various management strategies.Area of study: The area is situated in Karaisalı district of Adana city in the southeastern corner of Turkey. Material and methods:The historical pattern from 1969 to 2012 was assessed with digital forest cover type maps, produced with high resolution aerial photo interpretation using Geographic Information Systems (GIS). The forest development over the next 120 years was forecasted using ecosystem-based multiple use forest management model (ETÇAP) to understand the cause-effect relationships under various management strategies.Main results: The result showed that over the past 43 years while total forest areas decreased about 1,194 ha (4%), the productive forest areas increased about 5,397 ha (18%) with a decrease of degraded forest (5,824 ha, 20%) and increase of maquis areas (2,212 ha, 7%).The forecast of forest development under traditional management strategy resulted in an unsustainable forest due to broken initial age class structure, yet generated more total harvest (11%) due to 88% relaxing of even timber flow constraint. While more volume could be harvested under traditional management conditions, the sustainability of future forest is significantly jeopardized.Research highlights: This result trongly implies that it is essential adopting modeling techniques to understand forest dynamics and forecast the future development comprehensively.

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Carbon sequestration and land management under uncertainty

Cited by 41 publications

References 15 publications

A review of decision-making approaches to handle uncertainty and risk in adaptive forest management under climate change

A review of decision-making approaches to handle uncertainty and risk in adaptive forest management under climate change

Incorporating water production and carbon sequestration into forest management planning: a case study in Yalnızçcam planning unit

Forecasting forest development through modeling based on the legacy of forest structure over the past 43 years

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