Causas e Impactos da Instabilidade Política na Perfomance do Comércio Internacional

Abstract

Esta pesquisa apresenta um estudo reflexivo acerca de possíveis causas e os impactos da instabilidade política no desempenho do comércio internacional. Em formato de ensaio teórico, este artigo baseia-se em revisão teórica de autores que discutem sobre a globalização e seus reflexos sobre os Estados, e sobre as especificidades que caracteriza a instabilidade política. Na sequência, com o intuito de evidenciar os elementos que foram identificados a partir da revisão teórica, foi realizado o estudo baseado em levantamento documental, que detalham as situações e contexto de países que passam ou passaram por instabilidade política recentemente: Tunísia, Ucrânia, Paraguai e Brasil, a fim de analisar os impactos que as instabilidades políticas causam no Comércio Internacional destes países.

Political–economic instability and earnings management in an emerging market: the case of the 2016 Presidential Impeachment in Brazil

“…Indeed, previous studies suggest that political instability and economic growth are interconnected (Darby et al. , 2004; Stoffel et al. , 2019).…”

“…Periods of political instability can be defined as environments of uncertainty, volatility and tension since political instability can reduce foreign investments and, consequently, economic growth (Jong-A-Pin, 2009; Roe and Siegel, 2011). Moreover, political instability can negatively affect the economic environment (Jong-A-Pin, 2009; Roe and Siegel, 2011;Stoffel et al, 2019). Indeed, previous studies suggest that political instability and economic growth are interconnected (Darby et al, 2004;Stoffel et al, 2019).…”

“…Moreover, political instability can negatively affect the economic environment (Jong-A-Pin, 2009; Roe and Siegel, 2011;Stoffel et al, 2019). Indeed, previous studies suggest that political instability and economic growth are interconnected (Darby et al, 2004;Stoffel et al, 2019). In turn, unstable economic environments stem from macroeconomic crises and affect a country's economic growth, as they cause of lack of confidence on the part of investors and market agents.…”

Fatores ambientais e internos da firma e o desempenho financeiro das empresas: um olhar sobre as empresas listadas na B3 sob a ótica da corrupção e da estabilidade político-econômica

“…In turn, economic stability leads to a sensation of safety for markets and their agents, favoring the allocation of resources into projects and the mobilization of capitals, contributing to a reduction in risks and a facilitation of transactions (Creel, Hubert & Labondance, 2015). On the other hand, political instability causes damage to investments, compromising their attractiveness and leading to business interruption (World Bank Group, 2013), prompting a withdrawal of national and foreign investment, creating barriers to growth, and impairing the development of companies (Stoffel, Theis & Schreiber, 2019).…”