Climate Change and its impacts on Indian agriculture: An Econometric analysis

Abstract

This study assessed the climate change impacts on land productivity for major food and nonfood grain crops in India. We compiled data for 50 years (1967–2016) using 15 crops across India to estimate the variation of agriculture production for each crop by different variables such as temperature and rainfall estimation. Our results indicate that land productivity decreases with an increase in annual average temperature in most of the crops. The adverse impact of climate change on agricultural production indicates food security threat to small and marginal farming households and adversely affected due to climatic fluctuations. Results show that a rise in temperature would reduce agricultural productivity and assessed sensitivity of Indian agriculture to climate change.

Impact of climate change on cereal production: evidence from lower-middle-income countries

“…This nding is similar to those of Loum and Fogarassy (2015), Dasgupta (2013), Mishra and Sahu (2014), Brown et al (2010), Akram (2012), Praveen and Sharma (2019b), and Attiaoui and Boufateh, 2019).…”

“…Most of the researchers have used temperature and rainfall as a proxy for climate change. Many of the studies are country-speci c (Dumrul and Kilicarslan, 2017;Zaied and Zouabi, 2015;Praveen and Sharma, 2019b;Attiaoui and Boufateh, 2019;Onour, 2019;Chandio et al, 2020a;Chandio et al, 2020bAhsan et al, 2019. It is also found that there is a limited number of studies on the relationship between climate change and cereal production.…”

“…When it comes to methodological aspects, it is found that many studies have not used appropriate econometric methods in estimating the impact of climate change on cereal production. The issues of serial correlation, panel group-wise heteroscedasticity, cross-sectional dependence and heterogeneity have not been taken into consideration in the literature (Mishra and Sahu, 2014;Loum and Fogarassy, 2015;Dumrul and Kilicarslan, 2017;Akram, 2012;Ansari et al, 2019;Praveen and Sharma, 2019b;Guntukula, 2020;Ansari et al, 2020). Only a few studies have considered these issues in their papers (Susanto et al, 2020;Ali et al, 2020).…”

Disentangling increasing compound extremes at regional scale during Indian summer monsoon

“…For the country as a whole, the number of grid points shown with changing temperature pattern are greater than precipitation due to rising warm climatic conditions. Praveen and Sharma recently evaluated the historical variation of crop productivity using multiple regression analysis based on precipitation and temperature 56 . They concluded that crop production (tea, jowar, maize, ragi, sugarcane, and wheat) has reduced over the period 1967-2016, majorly due to increased temperature.…”

Does Climate Change Asymmetrically Affect Rice Productivity In India? New Insight From NARDL Cointegration Approach

“…The developing nations are more vulnerable than developed countries due to more extensive dependence on agriculture sector for livelihood, lack of technological advancement and lack of adaptation policies of climate change on agriculture production (Praveen & Sharma, 2020;Warsame, 2021). However, Chandio et al, (2021) stated that the increase in temperature and financial development, respectively has negative and positive impact on cereal production in Pakistan.…”