Climate change impact and risks of concrete infrastructure deterioration

With weakening prospects of prompt mitigation, it is increasingly likely that the world will experience 4 • C and more of global warming. In such a world, adaptation decisions that have long lead times or that have implications playing out over many decades become more uncertain and complex. Adapting to global warming of 4 • C cannot be seen as a mere extrapolation of adaptation to 2 • C; it will be a more substantial, continuous and transformative process. However, a variety of psychological, social and institutional barriers to adaptation are exacerbated by uncertainty and long timeframes, with the danger of immobilizing decision-makers. In this paper, we show how complexity and uncertainty can be reduced by a systematic approach to categorizing the interactions between decision lifetime, the type of uncertainty in the relevant drivers of change and the nature of adaptation response options. We synthesize a number of issues previously raised in the literature to link the categories of interactions to a variety of risk-management strategies and tactics. Such application could help to break down some barriers to adaptation and both simplify and better target adaptation decision-making.The approach needs to be tested and adopted rapidly.

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“…[50,51]). For these decisions, risk management should adopt the precautionary principle, choosing a response extent (e.g.…”

Section: Responses Under Diverging Climate Futuresmentioning

confidence: 99%

Rethinking adaptation for a 4 ^° C world

Smith

Horrocks

Harvey

et al. 2011

Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A.

305

155

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“…spatial variability is ignored), then the mean proportion of corrosion damage is p s (t)×100% (Sudret et al 2007). See Stewart et al (2011) andWang et al (2010a,b,c,d) for more details of the probabilistic analysis.…”

Section: Deterioration and Probabilistic Modellingmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…While the present study focuses on concrete infrastructure, changes in temperature and relative humidity will also affect the corrosion of steel structures, but these effects are beyond the scope of the present paper. Stewart et al (2011) andWang et al (2010a,b,c,d) have developed advanced probabilistic and reliability-based methods to predict concrete deterioration under a changing climate in Australia, in terms of changes in probability of reinforcement corrosion initiation and corrosion induced damage due to (i) increase in the concentration of CO 2 in the atmosphere, and changes to (ii) temperature and (iii) humidity. These time and spatial variables will affect the penetration of aggressive agents CO 2 and chlorides into concrete, and the corrosion rate once corrosion initiation occurs .…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change adaptation for corrosion control of concrete infrastructure

2012

Self Cite

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“…Stewart et al predicted that in the 2000-2100 period, it will be possible to divide atmospheric CO 2 concentrations into low, medium, and high levels and three scenarios: IPCC, A1B, and A1F1. A1F1 is considered a very fast economic growth scenario [43]. Based on A1F1, A1B took into consideration the balance between fossil fuel and non-fossil fuel energy sources.…”

Section: Social Discount Rate Of Carbon Emissionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Simulation and Assessment of Whole Life-Cycle Carbon Emission Flows from Different Residential Structures

Wen

Jrade

2016

Sustainability

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Abstract:To explore the differences in carbon emissions over the whole life-cycle of different building structures, the published calculated carbon emissions from residential buildings in China and abroad were normalized. Embodied carbon emission flows, operations stage carbon emission flows, demolition and reclamation stage carbon emission flows and total life-cycle carbon emission flows from concrete, steel, and wood structures were obtained. This study is based on the theory of the social cost of carbon, with an adequately demonstrated social cost of carbon and social discount rate. Taking into consideration both static and dynamic situations and using a social discount rate of 3.5%, the total life-cycle carbon emission flows, absolute carbon emission and building carbon costs were calculated and assessed. The results indicated that concrete structures had the highest embodied carbon emission flows and negative carbon emission flows in the waste and reclamation stage. Wood structures that started the life-cycle with stored carbon had the lowest carbon emission flows in the operations stage and relatively high negative carbon emission flows in the reclamation stage. Wood structures present the smallest carbon footprints for residential buildings.

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Climate change impact and risks of concrete infrastructure deterioration

Cited by 313 publications

References 29 publications

Rethinking adaptation for a 4 ^° C world

Rethinking adaptation for a 4 ^° C world

Climate change adaptation for corrosion control of concrete infrastructure

Simulation and Assessment of Whole Life-Cycle Carbon Emission Flows from Different Residential Structures

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Climate change impact and risks of concrete infrastructure deterioration

Cited by 313 publications

References 29 publications

Rethinking adaptation for a 4 ° C world

Rethinking adaptation for a 4 ° C world

Climate change adaptation for corrosion control of concrete infrastructure

Simulation and Assessment of Whole Life-Cycle Carbon Emission Flows from Different Residential Structures

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About

Rethinking adaptation for a 4 ^° C world

Rethinking adaptation for a 4 ^° C world