Climate change impacts on groundwater and soil temperatures in cold and temperate regions: Implications, mathematical theory, and emerging simulation tools

Kurylyk, Barret L.; MacQuarrie, Kerry T.B.; McKenzie, Jeffrey M.

doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2014.06.006

Cited by 246 publications

(186 citation statements)

References 223 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

166

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…The surface hydrological response is naturally phase shifted from climate warming because permafrost is not in equilibrium with the climate due to the thermal inertia associated with pore water phase change [9]. Some modeling studies have also demonstrated a phase shift between base flow response and permafrost thaw, but the results vary depending on the hydrogeologic system in question.…”

Section: Lagged Effects Of Winter Baseflow In Response To Climate Warmentioning

confidence: 97%

“…However, more recently, other indirect impacts of climate warming on hydrological processes have been considered. For instance, permafrost thaw due to climate warming [6,7] alters how water is routed and stored in watersheds, and thus impacts both surface and subsurface hydrology [8,9]. Also, a temperature-induced shift of precipitation from snow towards rain and seasonal shifts of precipitation can influence hydrologic processes and regimes [10,11].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Increasing Winter Baseflow in Response to Permafrost Thaw and Precipitation Regime Shifts in Northeastern China

Duan

Man

Kurylyk

et al. 2017

Water

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Abstract:Rapid permafrost thaw and precipitation regime shifts are altering surface and subsurface hydrological processes in arctic and subarctic watersheds. Long-term data (40 years) from two large permafrost watersheds in northeastern China, the Tahe River and Duobukuer River watersheds, indicate that winter baseflows are characterized by significant positive trends of 1.7% and 2.5%·year −1 , respectively. Winter baseflows exhibited statistically significant positive correlations with mean annual air temperature and the thawing index, an indicator of permafrost degradation, for both watersheds, as well as the increasing annual rainfall fraction of precipitation for the Duobukuer River watershed. Winter baseflows were characterized by a breakpoint in 1989, which lagged behind the mean annual air temperature breakpoint by only two years. The statistical analyses suggest that the increases in winter baseflow are likely related to enhanced groundwater storage and winter groundwater discharge caused by permafrost thaw and are potentially also due to an increase in the wet season rainfall. These hydrological trends are first apparent in marginal areas of permafrost distribution and are expected to shift northward towards formerly continuous permafrost regions in the context of future climate warming.

show abstract

Section: Lagged Effects Of Winter Baseflow In Response To Climate Warmentioning

confidence: 97%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Increasing Winter Baseflow in Response to Permafrost Thaw and Precipitation Regime Shifts in Northeastern China

Duan

Man

Kurylyk

et al. 2017

Water

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Permafrost degradation has profound impacts on the hydrogeologic patterns, particularly the vertical and lateral flow paths that can transmit large groundwater fluxes (Carey et al, 2013;Wellman et al, 2013;Kurylyk et al, 2014). Groundwater contributes significantly to stream baseflow, with most groundwater flow presented as a suprapermafrost aquifer (Evans et al, 2015).…”

Section: Implications Of Sw-gw Interaction In Permafrost Regionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Subsurface flow also influences the state of permafrost by enhancing heat transfer and accelerating thaw (Bense et al, 2009;Chasmer and Hopkinson, 2016). Under climate change, permafrost degradation will likely produce large changes in surface and subsurface hydrology concomitant with changes to the hydrological framework, particularly the SW-GW exchange which correlates with water-heat exchange processes (Carey et al, 2013;Wellman et al, 2013;Kurylyk et al, 2014). The SW-GW exchange directly reflects the effects of permafrost thaw on hydrological processes, such as subsurface 10 flow paths, residence time, and the partitioning of water stored above and below ground.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Estimating interaction between surface water and groundwater in a permafrost region using heat tracing methods

Gao

Liu

Zhang

et al. 2017

Preprint

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Abstract. Understanding the interactions between groundwater and surface water in permafrost regions is essential to the understanding of flood frequencies and river water quality of high latitude/altitude basins. The application of heat tracing methods, based on oscillating streambed temperature signals, is a promising geophysical method for identifying and quantifying the groundwater and surface water interactions. Analytical analysis based on one-dimensional convectiveconductive heat transport equation combined with the fiber-optic distributed temperature sensing measurements were applied 20 on a streambed of a mountainous permafrost region in the Yeniugou basin of northern Tibetan Plateau. The results indicated that low connectivity between the stream and groundwater in permafrost and active layer. The interaction between surface water and groundwater increased with thawing of the active layer. This study demonstrates that heat tracing method can be applied to study surface water-groundwater interactions over temporal and spatial scales in permafrost regions. 25The Cryosphere Discuss., https://doi

show abstract

“…and are very vulnerable to the change of temperature. They are associated with the specific belt where the soil temperature is continuously below 0°C for several years at least (Kurylyk et al 2014). Obviously, the global climate changes have an impact on permafrost geothermal regimes in the Alpine mountains (Harris et al 2010).…”

Section: Cryosols Regosols Fluvisols and Leptosolsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change impacts on the Alpine ecosystem: an overview with focus on the soil

Chersich¹,

Rejšek²,

Vranová³

et al. 2015

J. For. Sci.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

ABSTRACT:The Alpine ecosystem is very sensitive to climatic changes, which have an influence on glaciers, snow, vegetation and soils. The aim of this review is to illustrate the effects of global change on the Alpine soil ecosystem, which is an optimal marker to record them. The manuscript enhances our understanding of the global change effect on the Alpine environment: on morphology, on ice, on vegetation and points out how the cycles of soil nutrients equilibrium have been changed with a direct effect on soils that support plant species. The changes in cryosphere, glacier reduction and periglacial environment as glaciers retreat, decrease in the snow cover extent and earlier snowmelt, determine an effect on soils (on the structure, organic matter and humus forms, soil processes and soil types) from the top of the Alpine horizon to the bottom. The processes induced by climate change (such as erosion and tree line shifting) have a direct effect on water balance that can be observed on soil profile characters with an effect on upward migration, change in phenology, extensive losses of species. The equilibrium of the biogeochemical cycles has been changed and this has a direct effect on soils that support plant species.

show abstract

Climate change impacts on groundwater and soil temperatures in cold and temperate regions: Implications, mathematical theory, and emerging simulation tools

Cited by 246 publications

References 223 publications

Increasing Winter Baseflow in Response to Permafrost Thaw and Precipitation Regime Shifts in Northeastern China

Increasing Winter Baseflow in Response to Permafrost Thaw and Precipitation Regime Shifts in Northeastern China

Estimating interaction between surface water and groundwater in a permafrost region using heat tracing methods

Climate change impacts on the Alpine ecosystem: an overview with focus on the soil

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About