Climate change impacts on long-term field experiments in Germany

Dönmez, Cenk; Schmidt, Marcus; Çilek, Ahmet; Grosse, Meike; Paul, Carsten; Hierold, Wilfried; Helming, Katharina

doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2022.103578

Cited by 8 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 47 publications

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“…Moreover, the geopolitical situation since the start of the Russo-Ukrainian war further hinders joint action on climate change issues [79]. Although both scenarios involve high greenhouse gas emissions, they provide a basis for studying the impacts of climate change on agriculture and the natural environment [76,[80][81][82][83][84]. The time frames involve the 1981-2010 reference period and the 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 periods designated, respectively, as Ref, p1, p2 and p3.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Projecting Bioclimatic Change over the South-Eastern European Agricultural and Natural Areas via Ultrahigh-Resolution Analysis of the de Martonne Index

2023

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The changing climate is closely related to changes in the bioclimate. This research deals with the present bioclimate and its projected evolution over the entirety of the natural and agricultural lands of south-eastern Europe and individual countries (Bulgaria, Greece, Kosovo, N. Macedonia, Romania, and Serbia). For this purpose, an ultrahigh spatial resolution of the de Martonne bioclimatic index pattern was elaborated and analysed for the first time. The survey is performed over the reference period (1981–2010) and future time frames (2011–2040; 2041–2070; 2071–2100) under SSP370 and SSP585 emission scenarios. On a territorial level, both natural and agricultural areas appear as highly impacted by the future changes of bioclimate; the highest xerothermic trend is expected to influence the latter areas, mostly in 2071–2100 and under the higher emission scenario. The natural areas will face an expansion in the semidry class from 0.9% (of the total area) during the reference period to 5.6% during 2071–2100 under the RCP8.5 scenario as the dominant extremely humid class falls from 53.5% to 32.9% for the same periods and scenario. On the other hand, agricultural areas will face a more intense xerothermic alteration going from 4.9% to 17.7% for the semidry class and from 41.1% to 23.5% for the dominant very humid class for the same periods and scenario. This study presents the spatial statistics per country for the selected scenarios and periods to provide information for stakeholders. This study’s results highlight the necessity for intensifying adaptation plans and actions aiming at the feasibility of agricultural practices and the conservation of natural areas.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Projecting Bioclimatic Change over the South-Eastern European Agricultural and Natural Areas via Ultrahigh-Resolution Analysis of the de Martonne Index

2023

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“…Long‐term field experiments are also essential for future research and cannot be replaced by new analytical techniques or models (e.g. Donmez et al., 2023; Johnston & Poulton, 2018). On the contrary, they are an indispensable basis for the calibration and validation of these techniques.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An open‐source metadataset of running European mid‐ and long‐term agricultural field experiments

Blanchy,

D'Hose,

Donmez

et al. 2023

Soil Use and Management

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Mid‐term (MTEs, 5 to 20 years) and long‐term (LTEs, 20+ years) field experiments are key sources of information to design future climate‐smart agriculture. Within the European Joint Program SOIL (EJP SOIL), we built the EJP SOIL‐MTE/LTE metadataset that contains metadata from 240 MTEs/LTEs across Europe. Metadata collected included precise descriptions of the treatments (combination of factors such as tillage, crop type/rotation, amendments/fertilizers, grazing and pest/weed management), soil and crop measurements and pedo‐climatic information. Using different figures and dashboards, an overview of those MTEs/LTEs is presented and specific research themes (tillage systems, residue management, amendment type and cover crops) are further analyzed within their pedo‐climatic context. An interactive web portal developed in collaboration with the BonaRes project (https://lte.bonares.de), enables users to explore the metadataset and find relevant MTEs/LTEs for specific combinations of practices (e.g. all MTEs/LTEs that investigate cover crops on a Cambisol in no‐tillage system). Finally, a SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats) analysis of the metadataset was carried out to highlight the potential contribution of MTEs/LTEs to a harmonized European soil observation and monitoring approach. We propose that the metadataset could be elaborated with metadata from other existing MTEs/LTEs in Europe or even worldwide.

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“…Agriculture is vulnerable to CC and also responsible for CC. CC has in uenced on land productivity (Coderoni and Pagliacci, 2023), agricultural management and productivity (Donmez et al 2023). Farming communities with inadequate resources are highly vulnerable to CC (Singh et al, 2022).…”

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confidence: 99%

How to overcome data inadequacy for policy formulation? Evidence from the Himalayan Mountain Region, concerning kiwifruit (Actinidia deliciosa Chev.) cultivation

Patra,

Rilung,

Das

et al. 2023

Preprint

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Under global warming and climate change, the vulnerable piece of land is India’s Eastern Himalayan region (EHR), where millions’ livelihood activities are at risk. Quantifying the degree of climate change-induced vulnerability over the highly climate-sensitive mountain zone is challenging because of the inadequacy of meteorological data. Therefore, what alternative should mitigate the scientific data inadequacy for mitigation adaptation policy to climate change in EHR? The study's main objective is to assess the climate change perception of kiwifruit growers under EHR and the impact of climate change on its cultivation. Perceived and scientific data were used for accurate decision-support information creation. Descriptive statistics and trend analysis analyzed meteorological data. Study shows that indigenous mountain/farming communities are following shifting cultivation and diversifying their traditional agriculture (apple cultivation) to Kiwifruit cultivation as an alternative adaptation option to climate change. They have a clear perception of the patterns and trends of climate change and a relatively inadequate perception of the impact on agriculture. It can be concluded that using perceived and scientific data to assess and map climate change scenarios is a unique approach to avoid data inadequacy. The study has revealed that indigenous/mountain people clearly perceive climate change. Therefore, engaging indigenous communities and other stakeholders to postulate a comprehensive adaptation and mitigation strategy for climate change is a befitting strategy. The study's approach may be appropriate for depicting climate change scenarios elsewhere. The results will help to make appropriate climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies for the Himalayan, other mountain and plane regions.

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Climate change impacts on long-term field experiments in Germany

Cited by 8 publications

References 47 publications

Projecting Bioclimatic Change over the South-Eastern European Agricultural and Natural Areas via Ultrahigh-Resolution Analysis of the de Martonne Index

Projecting Bioclimatic Change over the South-Eastern European Agricultural and Natural Areas via Ultrahigh-Resolution Analysis of the de Martonne Index

An open‐source metadataset of running European mid‐ and long‐term agricultural field experiments

How to overcome data inadequacy for policy formulation? Evidence from the Himalayan Mountain Region, concerning kiwifruit (Actinidia deliciosa Chev.) cultivation

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