Construction and validation of a novel and superior protein risk model for prognosis prediction in esophageal cancer

Abstract

Esophageal cancer (EC) is recognized as one of the most common malignant tumors in the word. Based on the biological process of EC occurrence and development, exploring molecular biomarkers can provide a good guidance for predicting the risk, prognosis and treatment response of EC. Proteomics has been widely used as a technology that identifies, analyzes and quantitatively acquires the composition of all proteins in the target tissues. Proteomics characterization applied to construct a prognostic signature will help to explore effective biomarkers and discover new therapeutic targets for EC. This study showed that we established a 8 proteins risk model composed of ASNS, b-Catenin_pT41_S45, ARAF_pS299, SFRP1, Vinculin, MERIT40, BAK and Atg4B via multivariate Cox regression analysis of the proteome data in the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) to predict the prognosis power of EC patients. The risk model had the best discrimination ability and could distinguish patients in the high- and low-risk groups by principal component analysis (PCA) analysis, and the high-risk patients had a poor survival status compared with the low-risk patients. It was confirmed as one independent and superior prognostic predictor by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and nomogram. K-M survival analysis was performed to investigate the relationship between the 8 proteins expressions and the overall survival. GSEA analysis showed KEGG and GO pathways enriched in the risk model, such as metabolic and cancer-related pathways. The high-risk group presented upregulation of dendritic cells resting, macrophages M2 and NK cells activated, downregulation of plasma cells, and multiple activated immune checkpoints. Most of the potential therapeutic drugs were more appropriate treatment for the low-risk patients. Through adequate analysis and verification, this 8 proteins risk model could act as a great prognostic evaluation for EC patients and provide new insight into the diagnosis and treatment of EC.