Corporate foresight - a field report

Klein, Gereon

doi:10.1504/ijfip.2012.049777

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Strengths and Pitfalls1

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2016

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“…In sum, the combined simulation approach increases the level of confidence that the decision makers and stakeholders can have in the models, and motivates them to reflect on and use the outputs. However, there are also several pitfalls in the use of this combined approach [22,[88][89][90][91].…”

Section: Strengths and Pitfallsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Interactive foresight simulation

Hansen

Rasmussen

Jacobsen

2016

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

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The Combined Simulation Approach (CSA) is a way to evaluate risks and address potential unforeseen problems in a more interactive way than what is often observed in practice in companies or sectors. The approach is based on a combination of scenario analysis and discrete-event computer simulation with which the strategies can be continuously developed. The contribution of this paper is to narrow the knowledge gapbetween strategic, tactical and operational levels of an organisation. The paper demonstrates how it is possible to work proactively with both the breadth and depth of strategies using a Danish knowledge intensive company as an example.

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