Correlates of vulnerability to climate-induced distribution changes in European avifauna: habitat, migration and endemism

Goodenough, Anne E.; Hart, Adam G.

doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0688-x

Cited by 14 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 29 publications

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“…As already observed in previous studies on other taxa (e.g. birds; Goodenough & Hart, ), hotspots of species under high climate threat exposure include areas with the highest concentration of species with limited or no availability of climatic refugia. These obviously include mountainous areas, where species are likely to be unable to move upslope to cope with climate change.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 66%

A framework for the identification of hotspots of climate change risk for mammals

Pacifici

Visconti

Rondinini

2017

Global Change Biology

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As rates of global warming increase rapidly, identifying species at risk of decline due to climate impacts and the factors affecting this risk have become key challenges in ecology and conservation biology. Here, we present a framework for assessing three components of climate-related risk for species: vulnerability, exposure and hazard. We used the relationship between the observed response of species to climate change and a set of intrinsic traits (e.g. weaning age) and extrinsic factors (e.g. precipitation seasonality within a species geographic range) to predict, respectively, the vulnerability and exposure of all data-sufficient terrestrial non-volant mammals (3,953 species). Combining this information with hazard (the magnitude of projected climate change within a species geographic range), we identified global hotspots of species at risk from climate change that includes the western Amazon basin, south-western Kenya, north-eastern Tanzania, north-eastern South Africa, Yunnan province in China, and mountain chains in Papua-New Guinea. Our framework identifies priority areas for monitoring climate change effects on species and directing climate mitigation actions for biodiversity.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 66%

A framework for the identification of hotspots of climate change risk for mammals

Pacifici

Visconti

Rondinini

2017

Global Change Biology

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“…Although modern GIS methods like climatic envelope modeling are promising tools for predicting species distribution changes (Drewnik, Węsławski, & Włodarska‐Kowalczuk, 2017; Goodenough & Hart, 2013), the case study presented here shows that physical conditions alone are not sufficient to explain changes in littoral community. It is probable that competition with well‐developed population of a native sibling species weakens the pace of G. oceanicus spreading along the Spitsbergen coast.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 77%

Range extension of a boreal amphipod Gammarus oceanicus in the warming Arctic

Węsławski

Dragańska‐Deja

Legeżyńska

et al. 2018

Ecology and Evolution

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The recent (2008–2016) occurrence of a boreal intertidal amphipod Gammarus oceanicus along the Spitsbergen coast is compared with corresponding data from 1980 to 1994. We aimed to compare the pace of environmental changes in the area (ice retreat, temperature increase) with distribution change of G. oceanicus. Material for the study was collected from intertidal, at low water level from over 100 locations on Spitsbergen, the main island of Svalbard archipelago (expanding from 76 to 80°N). The west coast of the island has been exposed to a steady increase in sea surface and air temperature (2°C in 20 years), as well as a significant decrease in fast ice duration (from over 5 months to less than 1 per year). A total length of more than 3,600 km of the island's coastline has been recently impacted by warming. Of the two sibling Gammarus species that dwell in the Spitsbergen littoral, G. setosus, the local cold water species remains generally where it was observed about 20–30 years ago. By contrast, boreal G. oceanicus has expanded its distribution range by over 1,300 km along the west and north coasts of Spitsbergen and gained dominating position on the number of sites, where it was previously just an occasional species.

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“…This often results in patchy distributions of species that are constrained to very specific elevational ranges (Cadena et al, 2012). Due to their specific adaptation to local conditions, species of high‐mountain ecosystems are highly threatened by climate change and habitat loss/degradation due to human activities (e.g., Chamberlain, Pedrini, et al, 2016; De Gabriel Hernando et al, 2021; Goodenough & Hart, 2013). As a consequence of temperature increase, mountain bird populations are expected to change their distributions to track their thermal niches and/or to cope with habitat change (e.g., the uphill shift of wooded vegetation, Myers‐Smith et al, 2011).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Landscape characteristics influence regional dispersal in a high‐elevation specialist migratory bird, the water pipit Anthus spinoletta

et al. 2023

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Species living in high mountain areas are currently threatened by climate change and human land use changes. High‐elevation birds frequently inhabit island‐like suitable patches around mountain peaks, and in such conditions the capability to exchange individuals among patches is crucial to maintain gene flow. However, we lack information regarding the dispersal ability of most of these species and the possible influence of landscape features on dispersal. In this study, we used population genomics and landscape resistance modelling to investigate dispersal in a high‐elevation specialist migratory bird, the water pipit Anthus spinoletta. We aimed to assess the levels of gene flow in this species within a wide area of the European Alps, and to assess the effects of environmental characteristics on gene flow, by testing the isolation by distance (IBD) hypothesis against the isolation by resistance (IBR) hypothesis. We found clear support for IBR, indicating that water pipits preferentially disperse across suitable breeding habitat (i.e., high‐elevation grassland). IBR was stronger in the part of the study area with less extended suitable habitat. Landscape resistance was slightly better described by habitat suitability models than landscape connectivity models. Despite the observed IBR, gene flow within the study area was high, probably also because of the still wide and relatively continuous breeding range. The forecasted reduction of range of this species may lead to stronger effects of IBR on gene flow. Other high‐elevation specialist birds may show similar IBR patterns, but with possibly stronger effects on gene flow because of their more reduced and patchy habitats.

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Correlates of vulnerability to climate-induced distribution changes in European avifauna: habitat, migration and endemism

Cited by 14 publications

References 29 publications

A framework for the identification of hotspots of climate change risk for mammals

A framework for the identification of hotspots of climate change risk for mammals

Range extension of a boreal amphipod Gammarus oceanicus in the warming Arctic

Landscape characteristics influence regional dispersal in a high‐elevation specialist migratory bird, the water pipit Anthus spinoletta

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