Could pool fire alone cause a domino effect?

Yang, Ruochen; Khan, Faisal; Neto, Eugenio Turco; Rusli, Riza; Ji, Jie

doi:10.1016/j.ress.2020.106976

Cited by 45 publications

(17 citation statements)

References 28 publications

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“…Such models are needed to compute are obtained from the seismic fragility functions, the annual rate of fatality  at the target can be calculated by Eq. (11). Finally, the IR at the target is estimated by Eq.…”

Section: Workflow For Computation Of Fatality Risk Mapsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…While the contributions mentioned above and many other studies (e.g. [11,12]) offer comprehensive methodologies for the assessment of consequences by considering domino effects, it is still a challenge to conduct risk analysis by considering domino effects in the case of Natech events triggered by earthquakes. Therefore, a methodology for the calculation of fatality risk for industrialized urban areas considering multihazard domino effects triggered by earthquakes is proposed in this paper.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Fatality risk estimation for industrialized urban areas considering multi-hazard domino effects triggered by earthquakes

Celano

Dolšek

2021

Reliability Engineering & System Safety

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The rapid expansion of the built environment has resulted in the coexistence of industrial facilities and urban centres. Following recent major earthquakes throughout the world, it has become clear that multi-hazard domino effects can significantly increase the risk of fatalities, environmental problems and losses. This complex phenomenon is not yet well understood. In this paper, the problem is treated by decomposing it into several subproblems which are described by simplified probabilistic models. These models are then coupled with the Monte Carlo method to estimate the annual probability of fatality for an individual who is continuously standing in a location of interest and to estimate fatality risk maps for an area of interest. Emphasis is placed on considering multi-hazard domino effects, which can be triggered within an industrial area due to the damage caused by earthquakes. Thus it is considered that fatalities can be caused: a) as a direct consequence of seismic damage to a unit b) as a direct physical and/or chemical consequence due to the loss of containment of hazardous material, and c) as a consequence of domino triggered by physical and chemical events such as fire, explosion, and toxic dispersion. The capabilities of the proposed methodology are demonstrated by calculating fatality risk maps for a hypothetical industrialized urban area. It is shown that disregarding multi-hazard domino effects in the estimation of fatality risk could lead to significant underestimation of the fatality risk in an industrialized urban area. Thus, it is necessary to account for multi-hazard domino effects. However, different teams of engineers can enhance the models for the probability of fatality due to various phenomena, which will improve the accuracy of the proposed methodology.

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Section: Workflow For Computation Of Fatality Risk Mapsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Fatality risk estimation for industrialized urban areas considering multi-hazard domino effects triggered by earthquakes

Celano

Dolšek

2021

Reliability Engineering & System Safety

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“…The probability due to analytical evolution for overpressure, radiation, and fragments dispersion apply Gaussian models matched with CFD tools [93][94][95][96][97], and meteorological conditions are included using a probabilistic approach [98]. The procedures can be matched to a GIS (Geographical Information System) to take into consideration actual plant lay-outs and identify possible escalation targets [99].…”

Section: Equipment Category Treshold Correlationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis and Characterization of Risk Methodologies Applied to Industrial Parks

et al. 2020

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It is important to evaluate the risks in industrial parks and their processes due to the consequences of major accidents and especially the domino effect. Scientific works present a wide possibility of models to deal with these situations. In this work, based on the information extracted from the scientific literature, six groups of risk methodologies are defined, analyzed, and characterized with methods that cover the standards, preventive, probabilistic, traditional, modern, and dynamic evaluation that are applied or could be used in industrial parks. It also tries to achieve the objective of determining which are more appropriate if the possible situations and causes that can produce an accident are taken into account, identifying and evaluating them with characteristics of simultaneity and immediacy, determining the probability of an accident occurring with sufficient advance in time to avoid it under the use of a working operational procedure. There is no definitive methodology, and it is necessary that they complement each other, but considering the proposed objective, the integrated application of traditional methodologies together with the management of safety barriers, the dynamic evaluation of risks, and the inclusion of machine learning systems could fulfill the proposed objective.

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“…In addition, limited factors and parameters can be considered in experimental studies 9 . Therefore, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models provide an effective way to analyze the consequence of a pool fire 10–12 . Since a large‐scale oil pool may occur on an offshore platform, the research on the hazards caused by large‐scale pool fires is significant.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modeling and risk analysis of large‐scale crude oil pool fire on an offshore facility

Wang,

Wang

et al. 2023

Process Safety Progress

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Large‐scale pool fires on offshore platforms can have disastrous consequences. Wind load is an essential component of the marine environment; hence, wind‐shielding facilities are installed on the platforms as needed. A computational fluid dynamics technique is used in this study to model large‐scale pool fires. The effects of wind load and windshields on large‐scale pool fires are investigated. Furthermore, the impact of the large‐scale pool fire on personnel is evaluated based on thermal radiation dose. It has been discovered that the growing horizontal momentum of the wind load might result in a significant distance of fatal injury. The windshields have double‐edged effects, including that: (1) they can reduce the injury distance by preventing the spread of fire products; and (2) they could block the release of heat and smoke. It is advised that while installing windshields on offshore platforms, different fire scenarios need to be considered. This research can be used to provide technical support for the development of the emergency evacuation strategy and layout design of offshore platforms.

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Could pool fire alone cause a domino effect?

Cited by 45 publications

References 28 publications

Fatality risk estimation for industrialized urban areas considering multi-hazard domino effects triggered by earthquakes

Fatality risk estimation for industrialized urban areas considering multi-hazard domino effects triggered by earthquakes

Analysis and Characterization of Risk Methodologies Applied to Industrial Parks

Modeling and risk analysis of large‐scale crude oil pool fire on an offshore facility

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