Coupling Coordination and Prediction Research of Tourism Industry Development and Ecological Environment in China

Abstract

Based on the data relevant to China’s tourism industry and ecological environment from 2005 to 2018, the entropy method and the coupling coordination degree model were used to analyze the coupling degree and coupling coordination degree of the tourism industry’s development and the ecological environment, and the GM (1.1) gray model was used to predict these values in the future. The model provided predictions and illustrated the trend in the changes in the degree of coordination between the development of China’s tourism industry and the ecological environment for the next five years. The results show the following. (1) The coupling degree between China’s tourism industry and the ecological environment was between 0.3 and 0.5. It was in the low-level coupling stage in 2005 and 2006 and generally low in 2005–2009, lower than the average level of 0.4204. In 2018, the coupling degree between the development of China’s tourism industry and the ecological environment was mainly in a stage of antagonism, reaching a peak of 0.4998 in 2013. The coupling degree declined slightly from 2013 to 2015 and then began to show an upward trend again in 2016. (2) The average coupling coordination level of China’s tourism industry development and ecological environment was 0.4266, which is in the medium coupling coordination stage. From 2007 to 2013, it was mainly in the phase of moderate coupling and coordination and high coupling and coordination from 2014 to 2018. (3) From the prediction results, the coupling degree will enter the coupling degree running-in stage in 2021 and the extreme coordination stage in 2023, but the coupling growth level during the running-in period will be significantly lower than the coupling coordination degree. Coordinated development of the two systems will take a long time, and active economic policies need to be adopted to promote their coordinated development.

Spatio-Temporal Characteristics of the Supply and Demand Coupling Coordination of Elderly Care Service Resources in China

“…Through the calculation of the coupling degree, the current situation of elderly care development can be analyzed, and further put forward policy suggestions to optimize the effective supply of elderly care services, improve the elderly care service environment and improve the quality of elderly care services [ 19 ]. The two subsystems of coupling coordination can interact and influence each other through energy exchange to form an interactive development relationship [ 20 , 21 , 22 ]. When two or more systems or elements are coupled, if the evolution direction of the two is consistent with the development direction of the system, and the system or elements promote each other and have a benign symbiosis, it is called positive coupling.…”

Research on the coupling coordination and prediction of industrial convergence and ecological environment in rural of China

“…In this paper, the coupling coordination degree (CCD) model is used to measure the coordinated development level between the industrial convergence and ecological environment in rural areas. The CCD model is often used to measure the relationship between different systems such as resources, ecology, economy, and society (Ariken et al, 2021;Yang et al, 2021;Xing et al, 2019). The CCD model uses the coupling degree to explain the relationship between the subsystems, and the coordinated development degree to comprehensively evaluate the whole system.…”

Spatial Heterogeneity of Coupling Coordination Development between Logistics and Economy in Central Plains of China

“…At present, the research fields using coupling coordination degree model in China mainly focus on provinces [44,45], regions [46,47], and industries [11,40,48], such as urbanization and logistics industry [27,29,43,45], urban and rural economic development and ecological environment [47,49], economic growth and environmental pollution [50,51], pharmaceutical manufacturing industry and regional economy [20,44,47,52], the innovation drive with high quality and economic development [53,54], the sustainable development of regional economy [55,56], science and technology innovation [57,58], integrated transportation and logistics industry and financial industry [29,35], rural revitalization and new type of urbanization [43,45,59], the logistics industry and the new urbanization [45,60], and so on. In addition to this method often used to study coupling coordination degree of two systems, there are also some studies of three systems, such as the coordinated development of economy, society, environment [27,61] and tourism, urbanization, urban ecological environment [53,62], etc. However, at present, most studies on the coupling coordination between logistics industry and economy take a single province or city as the research unit and few studies in Central Plains urban agglomeration, so the study of this paper is meaningful.…”