Critical paths and sensitivities towards a zero emission vehicle fleet in Germany a scenario based approach

Abstract

Based on a detailed analysis on how the availability of charging infrastructure influences the technical suitability of electric vehicles for customer needs, we assess critical paths and probable outcomes for the future composition of the German passenger vehicle fleet. In three different market scenarios several technical as well as political options for developing the German market towards a low carbon fleet are analyzed. Eventually, a comparison between the assumptions made and the German political goals regarding the number of electric vehicles on the road is given.