Decadal Shifts in Wind Patterns Reduced Continental Outflow and Suppressed Ozone Trend in the 2010s in the Lower Troposphere Over Japan

Abstract

The large increase in the springtime free tropospheric ozone over the western and eastern North Pacific over the last decades has been linked to the increase in anthropogenic emissions in China. However, the increasing trend at Mt. Happo, Japan, has been unexpectedly suppressed since 2008, by 5–10 ppbv. In this paper, we analyzed the tropospheric ozone records at Mt. Happo, along with the changes in climate and anthropogenic emissions. We revealed, based only on observational data, that the changes in climate pattern play an important role in controlling the decadal ozone trend. We found that the persistent La Niña‐like wind pattern during 2008–2013 reduced the export of polluted air masses from East Asia to the western Pacific, even though Chinese emissions continued to increase. On the other hand, an El Niño‐like wind pattern during 1992–1996 and enhanced storm track activity during 2000–2006 enhanced the export of polluted air masses from East Asia, contributing to the accelerated ozone trends. The climate modulations were identified in the O3 trends at the surface sites in western and central Japan and at a remote marine boundary layer site, Minamitorishima. Without this climatic effect driven by the persistent La Niña‐like wind pattern, the ozone trend would have been further upward over the North Pacific in the late 2000s to the early 2010s.

Multi-decadal surface ozone trends at globally distributed remote locations

“…In addition, the monthly anomalies reveal repeated cycles of ozone increases and decreases that are not evident from the observed monthly means. The ozone fluctuations at Minamitorishima are related to shifting transport patterns produced by climate variability [Okamoto et al, 2018].…”

Long-term changes of regional ozone in China: implications for human health and ecosystem impacts

“…This result differs from those of Cooper et al (2012), who focused on somewhat different period . Changing emissions of ozone precursors are thought to be responsible for the differences in ozone trends (Zhang et al, 2016) though climate variability also has important impact on the variation of surface ozone (Barnes et al, 2016;Okamoto et al, 2018;Xu et al, 2018;Sun et al, 2019). In addition, variations of aerosol level may exert influences on surface ozone by changing photolysis rate and heterogeneous reactions (Qu et al, 2018).…”

Twenty‐Five Years of Lower Tropospheric Ozone Observations in Tropical East Asia: The Influence of Emissions and Weather Patterns

“…Springtime lower tropospheric ozone at Mt. Happo, Japan, was suppressed by decreased long-range transport from China in recent years due to decadal shift in wind patterns (Okamoto et al, 2018). A modeling study suggests that the trend of shifting ozone precursor emissions to low-latitude regions of Asia has significantly affected the global distribution and burden of tropospheric ozone (Zhang et al, 2016).…”