Deep Spatio-Temporal Graph Attention Network for Street-Level 110 Call Incident Prediction

Abstract

Recent advancements in crime prediction have increasingly focused on street networks, which offer finer granularity and a closer reflection of real-world urban dynamics. However, existing studies on street-level graph representation learning often overlook the variability in node features when aggregating information from neighboring nodes. This limitation reduces the model’s capacity to fully capture the diverse street attributes and their influence on crime patterns. To address this issue, we introduce an end-to-end deep spatio-temporal learning model that employs a graph attention mechanism (GAT) to analyze the spatio-temporal features of 110 call incidents. Experimental results show that our proposed model outperforms existing methods across multiple prediction metrics. Additionally, ablation studies confirm that the GAT’s capacity to capture spatial dependencies within the street network significantly enhances the model’s overall predictive performance.