Development and Crime Drop: A Time-Series Analysis of Crime Rates in Hong Kong in the Last Three Decades

Chen, Xi; Zhong, Hua

doi:10.1177/0306624x20969946

Cited by 13 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 83 publications

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“…In several studies, the impacts of GRDP on crime rates vary widely. Some studies find no significant evidence of the link between GRDP and crime (Ajide 2021), others indicate a positive impact (Gull et al 2021), and some find a negative effect (Chen and Zhong 2021;Sandner and Wassmann 2018). In our results, the increase in GRDP positively impacts crime rates, which means that an increase in GRDP can intensify crime rates.…”

Section: Resultscontrasting

confidence: 41%

The Nexus between Crime Rates, Poverty, and Income Inequality: A Case Study of Indonesia

et al. 2023

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This study examines whether income inequality and poverty are determinants of crime rates across 34 provinces in Indonesia. Three indicators of income inequality and four poverty measures are tested to examine whether the dimension and degree of unequal welfare distribution are linked to crime occurrences. We use panel data from 2010 to 2019 with the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) approach. The findings indicate that higher income levels and wider income inequality are associated with higher crime rates. Our first indicator of income inequality, non-food expenditure, has a larger impact on crime rates than our second and third indicators, i.e., the gap in food expenditure and the Gini ratio. Poverty is also positively associated with crime. The wider the poverty gap (a measure of poverty) and the severity index, the higher the deprivation levels among the poor, which lead to more crime. The significant and positive effect of poverty on crime rates, and the positive nexus between crime, income, and inequality suggest that Indonesia will face a higher crime risk as the country becomes increasingly more affluent. In such a scenario, policymakers can leverage education and investment (domestic and foreign) to minimize the crime rate. The government could also strengthen crime prevention programs, crime settlement systems, and policing in Indonesia, and raise the budget for social assistance.

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Section: Resultscontrasting

confidence: 41%

The Nexus between Crime Rates, Poverty, and Income Inequality: A Case Study of Indonesia

et al. 2023

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“…Specifically, the transition from the tumultuous years of military rule in the early 1980s which, coincided with high rates of crime, to a law and order policy in the early 1990s provides anecdotal but useful evidence explaining the crime drop in Ghana. There has been significant literature in recent decades highlighting the role of various social control mechanisms on the reduction of crime opportunities (Bennett et al 2006;Black 2014;Chen and Zhong 2020;Cohen and Felson 1979;Eck 1995;Groff 2015;Sampson and Laub 1990;Wadsworth 2006). The study unavoidably succumbed to the reductionist interpretation of the role of systems of governance on crime trends and patterns in Ghana and Africa in general.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Crime drop in Ghana? Some insights from crime patterns and trends

Dziwornu

2021

Crime Prev Community Saf

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This study examines crime rate trends in Ghana in the context of research into the international crime drop. Ghanaian police-recorded crime data are imperfect, but crime rates appear to have increased to the early 2000s then to have declined significantly. However, the national trend for all crime types masks significant variation by crime type and region. The national trends appear, broadly speaking, consistent with long-term crime increases and decreases in high-income countries, but with a lag that may reflect Ghana’s economic development trajectory. This may be consistent with the routine activity perspective if both crime opportunities and economic development increased in parallel, followed by a crime decline that reflected increased security measures or other change. The study raises many questions that require further research, and some suggestions to that end are outlined.

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“…Chamlin & Cochran, 1995;Hughes et al, 2015;Maume & Lee, 2003;Messner & Rosenfeld, 1997;Savolainen, 2000), and others yielded mixed results (e.g. Chen & Zhong, 2021;Cullen et al, 2004;Fei & Zakrzewski, 2021;Healy, 2020;Piquero & Piquero, 1998).…”

Section: Prior Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

Institutional anomie theory and gambling-related crime: An empirical test in Macau

Dai

Zhuang

Ng³

2023

Journal of Criminology

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To date, scholars have rarely applied institutional anomie theory to gambling-related crime. Using time series data on the rates of illegal gambling, money laundering, organized crime, and drug-related crime, as well as various indicators of the economy and noneconomic social institutions, this study tested the applicability of institutional anomie theory to gambling-related crime. The study found that unemployment positively related to organized crime and drug-related crime. GDP per capita is positively associated with illegal gambling crime, organized crime, and drug-related crime. However, all social institutional variables failed to predict gambling-related crime. Moreover, for the interaction effects, this finding also provided limited and mixed support for the theory. The implications of these findings are discussed.

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Development and Crime Drop: A Time-Series Analysis of Crime Rates in Hong Kong in the Last Three Decades

Cited by 13 publications

References 83 publications

The Nexus between Crime Rates, Poverty, and Income Inequality: A Case Study of Indonesia

The Nexus between Crime Rates, Poverty, and Income Inequality: A Case Study of Indonesia

Crime drop in Ghana? Some insights from crime patterns and trends

Institutional anomie theory and gambling-related crime: An empirical test in Macau

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