Development and validation of a risk prediction nomogram for disposition of acute clozapine intoxicated patients to intensive care unit

Abstract

Background Clozapine is an atypical antipsychotic drug used for the treatment of refractory schizophrenia. It is reported as the most toxic in its class. Using serum clozapine level as a severity indicator is doubtful and unfeasible, particularly in low resourced countries. Methods This is an extended two-phase retrospective study that utilized medical records of patients diagnosed with acute clozapine intoxication and admitted to Tanta University Poison Control Center, Egypt during the past 6 years. Two hundred and eight medical records were used to establish and validate a nomogram for predicting the need for intensive care unit (ICU) admission in acute clozapine intoxicated patients. Results A reliable simple bedside nomogram was developed and proved its significant ability to predict the need for ICU admission, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 83.9% and 80.8% accuracy. It encompassed the age of admitted patients (AUC = 64.8%, p = .003), respiratory rate (AUC = 74.7%, p < .001), O2 saturation (AUC = 71.7%, p < .001), and random blood glucose level upon admission (AUC = 70.5%, p < .001). External validation of the proposed nomogram showed a high AUC (99.2%) with an overall accuracy of 96.2%. Conclusion There is a need to develop a reliable objective tool predicting the severity and need for ICU admission in acute clozapine intoxication. The proposed nomogram is a substantially valuable tool to estimate ICU admission probabilities among patients with acute clozapine intoxication and will help clinical toxicologists make rapid decisions for ICU admission, especially in countries with low resources.