Development of a model for assessing the level of flight safety in an airline using concept of risk

Bogdane, Ruta; Gorbačovs, Oļegs; Šestakovs, Vladimirs; Arandas, Ibrahim

doi:10.1016/j.procs.2019.01.150

Cited by 9 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 2 publications

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“…the versatility, multivariance, multicriteria and uncertainty of various situations significantly complicate the task of forming an algorithm for analyzing deviations and violations from the point of view of their impact on flight safety. By "anomalies" in the work of the structural divisions of the airline and its personnel, we mean errors that have led or may lead to the loss of the "crew/aircraft" system or the inability to perform the specified functions, and thereby create a risk of special situations in flight and during their fulfillment, aircraft accident or flight incident [8,9,10,11].…”

Section: Algorithm For Analyzing Anomalies and Irregularities In The ...mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…the integrated management system of an airline is a complex set of elements interconnected with each other through an information base, which must take into account, store and analyze the necessary data array through a built-in algorithm. For these purposes, it is necessary to develop an automated system for collecting, processing and using data on risks (deviations from the standards in the activities of various units and personnel of the airline) [10].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Theoretical and Methodological Approaches to the Information Base for an Airline’s Flight Safety System

Bitiņš

Bogdane²,

Shestakov

et al. 2022

Transactions on Aerospace Research

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This article presents a model and an algorithm for identifying, collecting, processing, analyzing and using data on risks at an airline (deviations from the standards in the activities of various airline units and personnel) to minimize them and thereby to achieve an acceptable level of flight safety. A methodology is also presented for formulating the composition of flight safety indicators, based on an expert approach, for the units and personnel of the airline, making decisions in this field in various areas of its activities. The model is based on the quality and flight safety systems that form part of an integrated management system at one of Latvia’s airlines. The system makes it possible to analyze safety aspects on the basis of actual information drawn from various sources into the airline’s information base, where it is collected, classified, stored and analyzed.

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Section: Algorithm For Analyzing Anomalies and Irregularities In The ...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Theoretical and Methodological Approaches to the Information Base for an Airline’s Flight Safety System

Bitiņš

Bogdane²,

Shestakov

et al. 2022

Transactions on Aerospace Research

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“…In accordance with the adopted probabilistic case study methodology, we will use the probability of favourable flight ending as the criterion for flight safety (PLV or, in the adverse case, QLV; their relation i) [5], [8]:…”

Section: Quantitative Assessment Of the Potential Degree Of Dangmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Thus, the immediate cause is the one that entails AE. Usually it is a consequence of the main cause [4], [5].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessment of the Degree of Danger Posed by In-flight Contingencies When Exposed to Adverse Factors Affecting the Aircraft

Temjašovs

Tereščenko

Šestakovs

et al. 2020

Transport and Aerospace Engineering

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Abnormal situations in flight arise when an aircraft in normal flight mode is exposed to one or more unfavourable factors. Therefore, such situations have a pronounced random nature. To assess the degree of danger of contingencies, it is convenient to use the Airworthiness Standards governing the list of situations and probability of their occurrence in flight. The degree of danger can be determined from the assumption that during the life of the aircraft each of the four contingencies will give the same level of risk. By combining all contingency situations with their normalized indicators and using this assumption, we can quantitatively determine their degree of danger (risk level) in the form of probabilistic indicators.

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“…One of the main reasons is the organizational activity that has developed in the airline, which causes deviations and disruptions in the functioning of its elements (International Civil Aviation Organization, 2007, 2016ISO, 2016;IOSA Standard Guide, 2012). By the inconsistency in the work of personnel we will understand errors that have led to or may lead to the loss of the system of "crew-aircraft" properties, perform the assigned functions and thus, create a risk of the occurrence of special situations in flight and when they occur implementation, an accident or an incident in flight (Gorbachev et al, 2019;Bogdane et al, 2019). The analysis of flight safety-affecting deviations and irregularities in the operation of elements of the airline is an integral part of the decision-making procedure of the management of the Special Issue on Safety and Security in Aviation airline, its services and units.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Algorithm for Analyzing Deviations and Irregularities in the Functioning of the Airline's Structural Units and Personnel in the Face of Uncertainty

et al. 2020

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At the heart of airline flight safety management is a systematic approach to identifying hazards and controlling risk factors, which ICAO requires to collect, analyze all deviations in the activities of units, services and personnel airlines and use of its results to develop and implement management activities. That kind of the system enables the organization to predict and fix problems before they lead to an aviation accident. Thus, the organizational management structure should ensure high efficiency, reliability and completeness of the control over all components that ensure the process of the air transportation: the course of transportation, the clear operation of all units in the uninterrupted transport process and their correct matching. In modern conditions, this result is achieved based on a process approach, when the company’s activities are presented as a set of production processes (activities). For each of these areas, the airline has appropriate management systems that are developed, certified, implemented and operated in accordance with international standards. As a result of the interaction of these processes, the goals of the aviation enterprise, which determine its competitiveness, are achieved.

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Development of a model for assessing the level of flight safety in an airline using concept of risk

Cited by 9 publications

References 2 publications

Theoretical and Methodological Approaches to the Information Base for an Airline’s Flight Safety System

Theoretical and Methodological Approaches to the Information Base for an Airline’s Flight Safety System

Assessment of the Degree of Danger Posed by In-flight Contingencies When Exposed to Adverse Factors Affecting the Aircraft

Algorithm for Analyzing Deviations and Irregularities in the Functioning of the Airline's Structural Units and Personnel in the Face of Uncertainty

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