Development of import substitution as a factor in ensuring food security in Kazakhstan

Денисова, О. К.; Rakhimberdinova, Madina

doi:10.51176/1997-9967-2021-2-107-115

Cited by 2 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…However, there is a lack of recent research, often missing detailed examinations of socioeconomic variables affecting food consumption, especially in the aftermath of geopolitical conflicts and economic shocks. For instance, previous research has primarily focused on macro-level factors such as agricultural production (Gizzatova et al 2014) and imports (Denissova and Rakhimberdinova 2021), often neglecting consumer-related factors. The recent global events have underscored the necessity for targeted research on the relationships between socioeconomic factors and food security in the region.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Predicting Food Consumption to Reduce the Risk of Food Insecurity in Kazakhstan

Duisenbekova,

Kulisz,

Danilowska

et al. 2023

Economies

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In modern times, the risk of food insecurity is a concern for policymakers at the global and national levels, as the issue of hunger and malnutrition still exists. Food security is vulnerable to any crises. The main goal of this paper is to create a neural-network-based predictive model to forecast food consumption trends in Kazakhstan, aiming to reduce the risk of food insecurity. The initial phase of this study involved identifying socioeconomic factors that significantly influence food consumption behaviors in Kazakhstan. Principal component analysis was used to identify key variables, which became the basis for modelling artificial neural networks. It was revealed that the poverty rate, GDP per capita, and food price index are pivotal determinants of food consumption in Kazakhstan. Two models were prepared: to predict food consumption on a national scale per capita per month, and to predict the percentage distribution of various food categories. The prediction of the percentage distribution of various food categories in Kazakhstan demonstrates the positive modelling quality indicators and strengthens the assumption that network modelling can be used. Predictions for total food consumption over the next three years indicate declining metrics, raising concerns about the potential food insecurity risk in Kazakhstan.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Predicting Food Consumption to Reduce the Risk of Food Insecurity in Kazakhstan

Duisenbekova,

Kulisz,

Danilowska

et al. 2023

Economies

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Import Substitution as a Development Strategy for Countries in Transition: The Experience of Kazakhstan

Aubakirova,

Isataeva,

Biryukov

2024

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The purpose of the research is to reveal the role of Kazakhstan's import substitution policy in choosing the economic trajectory of economic development from the standpoint of its decarbonization and expansion of international cooperation.Methodology: the theoretical and methodological basis of the research is based on the methods of systemic and structural analysis, which allow studying the essence of the import substitution policy and identifying the degree of its impact on the economy of Kazakhstan. characterizing the policy of import substitution.The originality / value of the research lies in the rationale for accelerating the adaptation of the institutional framework to new realities, which will provide support for priority sectors of the economy as leaders of the new technological order.Findings – the structural constraints of the economy are identifi ed, which must be taken into account when implementing the import substitution policy. The most problematic sectors of the economy of Kazakhstan are identifi ed in terms of dependence on import supplies. The priority directions of the import substitution policy are formulated in the context of growing geopolitical risks and the transformation of global value chains. The key aspects of the transformation of the real sector of the economy of Kazakhstan, which has the potential to reduce import dependence and increase the attractiveness of foreign investors, are highlighted. The role of digital solutions in the implementation of the import substitution policy is substantiated.The practical signifi cance of the study. Kazakhstan adapts the accumulated world experience in the formation of import substitution policy. The example of Kazakhstan can be useful for countries with economies in transition, seeking to increase self-suffi ciency and competitiveness of the real sector of the economy, expanding their presence in international markets.

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Development of import substitution as a factor in ensuring food security in Kazakhstan

Cited by 2 publications

References 3 publications

Predicting Food Consumption to Reduce the Risk of Food Insecurity in Kazakhstan

Predicting Food Consumption to Reduce the Risk of Food Insecurity in Kazakhstan

Import Substitution as a Development Strategy for Countries in Transition: The Experience of Kazakhstan

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