Distribution network risk assessment with distributed generation impact based on non-sequential Monte Carlo method

Abstract

At present, the development of renewable energy distributed generation is fast, and the distribution network is facing significant challenges. Unlike traditional fossil fuels, new energy generation is characterized by significant volatility caused by uncertain factors like environmental and meteorological conditions. This paper presents a risk assessment index system that utilizes the non-sequential Monte Carlo method to tackle the given issue. The system comprises two assessments: voltage limit risk and reliability index assessment. Through the application of the Monte Carlo method, a comparative analysis of the results with alternative calculation approaches is conducted. Subsequently, these findings are utilized to evaluate the effectiveness of two commonly employed protection strategies.