Drought Characterization for a Snow-Dominated Region of Afghanistan

Muhammad, Ameer; Jha, Sanjeev; Rasmussen, Peter

doi:10.1061/(asce)he.1943-5584.0001543

Cited by 23 publications

(15 citation statements)

References 28 publications

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“…Studies related to droughts in Afghanistan are limited. Muhammad et al [22] applied a modified version of standard Palmer method, incorporating snowmelt module based on the temperature-index method to assess droughts between 1957 and 2002. The study revealed major drought events over the region during the period.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Seasonal Drought Pattern Changes Due to Climate Variability: Case Study in Afghanistan

Ishanch

Shiru

Sharafati

et al. 2019

Water

139

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We assessed the changes in meteorological drought severity and drought return periods during cropping seasons in Afghanistan for the period of 1901 to 2010. The droughts in the country were analyzed using the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI). Global Precipitation Climatology Center rainfall and Climate Research Unit temperature data both at 0.5° resolutions were used for this purpose. Seasonal drought return periods were estimated using the values of the SPEI fitted with the best distribution function. Trends in climatic variables and SPEI were assessed using modified Mann–Kendal trend test, which has the ability to remove the influence of long-term persistence on trend significance. The study revealed increases in drought severity and frequency in Afghanistan over the study period. Temperature, which increased up to 0.14 °C/decade, was the major factor influencing the decreasing trend in the SPEI values in the northwest and southwest of the country during rice- and corn-growing seasons, whereas increasing temperature and decreasing rainfall were the cause of a decrease in SPEI during wheat-growing season. We concluded that temperature plays a more significant role in decreasing the SPEI values and, therefore, more severe droughts in the future are expected due to global warming.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Seasonal Drought Pattern Changes Due to Climate Variability: Case Study in Afghanistan

Ishanch

Shiru

Sharafati

et al. 2019

Water

139

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“…Each country identified different drought years based on the characteristics of the droughts they experienced. Muhammad et al [33] reported extremely severe droughts during 1971 and 2001 in Afghanistan. Furthermore, Privara and Privarova [34] stated that the period of 1998-2006 was the longest and utmost drought observed during the last five decades in Afghanistan.…”

Section: Drought Occurrence and Frequency In The Regionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The Asian Development Bank (ADB) elaborated that localized droughts have 3 to 5 years of recurrence interval, and on the other hand, spatially extended droughts occur in every decadal interval. Nevertheless, Afghanistan is prone to the nationwide drought every 2-3 decades [33], according to the ADB as cited in [35,36].…”

Section: Drought Occurrence and Frequency In The Regionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Drought in South Asia: A Review of Drought Assessment and Prediction in South Asian Countries

et al. 2021

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South Asian countries have been experiencing frequent drought incidents recently, and due to this reason, many scientific studies have been carried out to explore drought in South Asia. In this context, we review scientific studies related to drought in South Asia. The study initially identifies the importance of drought-related studies and discusses drought types for South Asian regions. The representative examples of drought events, severity, frequency, and duration in South Asian countries are identified. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was mostly adopted in South Asian countries to quantify and monitor droughts. Nevertheless, the absence of drought quantification studies in Bhutan and the Maldives is of great concern. Future studies to generate a combined drought severity map for the South Asian region are required. Moreover, the drought prediction and projection in the regions is rarely studied. Furthermore, the teleconnection between drought and large-scale atmospheric circulations in the South Asia has not been discussed in detail in most of the scientific literature. Therefore, as a take-home message, there is an urgent need for scientific studies related to drought quantification for some regions in South Asia, prediction and projection of drought for an individual country (or as a region), and drought teleconnection to atmospheric circulation.

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“…The situation of agriculture in Afghanistan is critical and requires vital change for poverty reduction and future growth (World Bank, 2005). Historically, few studies have analyzed climate patterns and water resources over Afghanistan at different scale and periods (Shokory et al, 2017;Muhammad et al, 2017;Qutbudin et al, 2019;Sediqi et al, 2019;Rehana et al, 2019). These studies reported a noteworthy decline in water availability in Afghanistan.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Understanding Precipitation Characteristics of Afghanistan at Provincial Scale

Suryavanshi

Joshi

Maurya

et al. 2021

Preprint

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This study examines the pattern and trend of seasonal and annual precipitation along with extreme precipitation events in a data scare, south Asian country, Afghanistan. Seven extreme precipitation indices were considered based upon intensity, duration and frequency of precipitation events. The study revealed that precipitation pattern of Afghanistan is unevenly distributed at seasonal and yearly scales. Southern and Southwestern provinces remain significantly dry whereas, the Northern and Northeastern provinces receive comparatively higher precipitation. Spring and winter seasons bring about 80% of yearly precipitation in Afghanistan. However, a notable declining precipitation trend was observed in these two seasons. An increasing trend in precipitation was observed for the summer and autumn seasons, however; these seasons are the lean periods for precipitation. A declining annual precipitation trend was also revealed in many provinces of Afghanistan. Analysis of extreme precipitation indices reveals a general drier condition in Afghanistan. Large spatial variability was found in precipitation indices. In many provinces of Afghanistan, a significantly declining trends were observed in intensity-based (Rx1-day, RX5-day, SDII and R95p) and frequency-based (R10) precipitation indices. The duration-based precipitation indices (CDD and CWD) also infer a general drier climatic condition in Afghanistan. This study will assist the agriculture and allied sectors to take well-planned adaptive measures in dealing with the changing patterns of precipitation, and additionally, facilitating future studies for Afghanistan.

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Drought Characterization for a Snow-Dominated Region of Afghanistan

Cited by 23 publications

References 28 publications

Seasonal Drought Pattern Changes Due to Climate Variability: Case Study in Afghanistan

Seasonal Drought Pattern Changes Due to Climate Variability: Case Study in Afghanistan

Drought in South Asia: A Review of Drought Assessment and Prediction in South Asian Countries

Understanding Precipitation Characteristics of Afghanistan at Provincial Scale

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