Effect of metabolic dysfunction on the risk of liver-related events in patients cured of hepatitis C virus

Abstract

The impact of metabolic dysfunction or metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) on liver-related events (LREs) in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) who had achieved a sustained virologic response (SVR) to direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) is unknown. A total of 924 patients with cured CHC and documented body mass index (BMI) were included in the analysis, and the data period was from September 2012 to April 2022. Hepatic steatosis was identified either through ultrasonography or blood biomarkers. Metabolic dysfunction was defined as the presence of overweight or obesity (BMI ≥ 23 kg/m 2 ), type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM), and metabolic dysregulation. Patients may have more than one metabolic dysfunction. Variables at 12 or 24 weeks after DAA therapy (PW12) were used to identify predictors of LREs. The median age of the 924 patients was 58 (49-65) years. Of the participants, 418 (45.2%) were male. The median BMI was 24.01 (21.78-26.73) kg/m 2 , and 174 (18.8%) patients had DM. A multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that age, male, albumin, total bilirubin, alphafetoprotein (AFP), metabolic dysfunction (hazard ratio: 1.709, 95% confidence interval: 1.128-2.591, P = .011), and FIB-4 > 3.25 were independent predictors of LREs. Type 2 DM and metabolic dysregulation exhibited a larger time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for LREs than did overweight or obesity. Moreover, metabolic dysfunction was identified to be an independent predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma. Metabolic dysfunction increased the risk of LREs and HCC in patients with CHC who had achieved an SVR to DAA therapy.