Energy Efficiency and Mathematical Modeling of Shrimp Pond Oxygenation: A Multiple Regression Experimental Study

Abstract

Aquaculture is one of the key economic activities to reduce food shortages worldwide. Water recirculation systems using pumps are crucial to maintain oxygenation and water quality, consuming about 35% of the total energy in this economic activity. This research proposes a multiple linear regression mathematical model to optimize oxygenation systems in intensive shrimp aquaculture by reducing energy consumption and minimizing water changes in ponds. The proposed model is key to optimizing the operation of pumping systems, allowing us to significantly reduce water turnover without compromising dissolved oxygen levels as a function of key variables such as water turnover volume, biomass, solar radiation (0–1200 W/m2), water temperature (20 °C–32 °C), phytoplankton levels (0–1,000,000 cells/ml), zooplankton (0–500,000 cells/ml), and wind speed (0–15 m/s). These variables are integrated into the model, managing to explain 94.02% of the variation in dissolved oxygen, with an R2 of 92.9%, which adjusts the system conditions in real time, reducing the impact of environmental fluctuations on water quality. This leads to an estimated annual energy savings of 106,397.5 kWh, with a total consumption of 663.8 MWh. The research contributes to the development of a mathematical approach that not only improves oxygenation prediction, but also minimizes the use of water resources, improving the sustainability and profitability of shrimp farming systems, and is a robust tool that maximizes operational efficiency in intensive aquaculture, particularly where water and energy management are critical.