Energy scenarios for Southeast Asia

Silberglitt, Richard; Kimmel, Shawn

doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2015.04.010

Cited by 10 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 1 publication

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“…In this paper, we use three metrics to assess Brazil's energy sector: energy efficiency, decarbonisation and carbon efficiency. These metrics have previously been used in analyses of the energy sectors of the USA and various countries in Southeast Asia (Silberglitt et al, 2003;Silberglitt and Kimmel, 2015).…”

Section: Metricsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In this paper, we use a meta-scenario approach to align future Brazil projections into distinct groups characterized by different policy, economic, social and technological outlooks. Other studies have used this approach to define energy meta-scenarios for the USA (Silberglitt et al, 2003), Southeast Asia (Silberglitt and Kimmel, 2015) and Switzerland (Densing et al, 2015).…”

Section: Scenario Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Energy foresight, scenarios and sustainable energy policy in Brazil

Horner

Oliveira²,

Silberglitt

et al. 2016

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Purpose This paper aims to use quantitative metrics to chart the unique history leading to Brazil’s leadership in renewable energy and identifies a set of meta-scenarios that define possible future carbon performance. These meta-scenarios provide a context for discussing specific energy policy implications both at the national scale and from the perspective of Brazil’s urban centres. Design/methodology/approach The paper defines and uses three metrics – energy efficiency, decarbonisation and carbon efficiency – to plot both Brazil’s historic energy pathway and a set of future energy scenarios put forth by various national and international energy agencies. The authors then use a meta-scenario approach to group these alternate pathways, identifying specific policy levers associated with the realisation of each. Findings The authors identify plausible policy changes that will help move Brazil off a current trajectory of stagnated energy performance to a “greener” scenario in which carbon efficiency improves even as Brazil’s economic growth continues. Such policies include energy efficiency programmes and continued expansion of the country’s already extensive hydropower and biomass capacity. Adoption of policies that would put Brazil on a more aggressive path towards a global sustainability scenario currently seems impractical. Originality/value This paper brings a standardized set of metrics to bear on Brazil’s unique energy history, which in turn helps identify specific policy impacts for continued GHG reduction in Brazil’s future from national and urban perspectives.

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Section: Metricsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Scenario Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

Energy foresight, scenarios and sustainable energy policy in Brazil

Horner

Oliveira²,

Silberglitt

et al. 2016

Self Cite

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“…Also, the power generation sector is the second-largest CO 2 contributor, so CO 2 reduction in this sector will have a significant impact (Hejazi, 2017). And in some regions, oil power plants that depend on oil imports still dominated (Silberglitt and Kimmel, 2015;Handayani et al, 2017). These conditions make the Indonesia energy security index (ESI) low.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Selection of Large-Scale Nuclear Power Plant Based on Economic and Reliability Aspects in Indonesian Power System

Budi¹,

Birmano²,

Amitayani³

2021

IJEEP

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“…The increasing energy demand amongst the ASEAN countries is often meet with energy derived from fossil sources most especially coal, natural gas, and oil [1,2]. The share of coal in the energy mix of ASEAN has been on the rise and has been projected to continue to increase in a long time [3,4]. Recent energy outlook by the international energy agency revealed that the rising fuel demands among Southeast Asian countries have surpassed the regional production hence, the possibility of becoming a net importer of fuel [5].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Nexus between Energy Usability, Economic Indicators and Environmental Sustainability in Four ASEAN Countries: A Non-Linear Autoregressive Exogenous Neural Network Modelling Approach

Mustapa

Ayodele

et al. 2020

Processes

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This study investigates the use of a non-linear autoregressive exogenous neural network (NARX) model to investigate the nexus between energy usability, economic indicators, and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in four Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN), namely Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, and the Philippines. Optimized NARX model architectures of 5-29-1, 5-19-1, 5-17-1, 5-13-1 representing the input nodes, hidden neurons and the output units were obtained from the series of models configured. Based on the relationship between the input variables, CO2 emissions were predicted with a high correlation coefficient (R) > 0.9. and low mean square errors (MSE) of 3.92 × 10−21, 4.15 × 10−23, 2.02 × 10−19, 1.32 × 10−20 for Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, and the Philippines, respectively. Coal consumption has the highest level of influence on CO2 emissions in the four ASEAN countries based on the sensitivity analysis. These findings suggest that government policies in the four ASEAN countries should be more intensified on strategies to reduce CO2 emissions in relationship with the energy and economic indicators.

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Energy scenarios for Southeast Asia

Cited by 10 publications

References 1 publication

Energy foresight, scenarios and sustainable energy policy in Brazil

Energy foresight, scenarios and sustainable energy policy in Brazil

Selection of Large-Scale Nuclear Power Plant Based on Economic and Reliability Aspects in Indonesian Power System

Nexus between Energy Usability, Economic Indicators and Environmental Sustainability in Four ASEAN Countries: A Non-Linear Autoregressive Exogenous Neural Network Modelling Approach

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