Using cointegration techniques, we investigate the determinants of gasoline demand in Switzerland over the period . We obtain a very weak price elasticity of -0.09 in the short run and -0.34 in the long run. For fuel demand, i.e. gasoline plus diesel, the corresponding price elasticities are -0.08 and -0.27. Our rich dataset allows working with quarterly data and with more explicative variables than usual in this literature. In addition to the traditional price and income variables, we account for variables like vehicles stocks, fuel prices in neighbouring countries, oil shocks and fuel taxes. All of these additional variables are found to be significant determinants of demand.
AcknowledgementsThis paper is based on a report (in French) for the Swiss Federal Office of Energy. We are grateful for financial support from the Swiss Federal Office of Energy and the Swiss Federal Office for the Environment. We thank Nicole Mathys, Thomas Bucheli, and the members of the expert team of the project "Research on Price Elasticity of Individual Road Transportation" for their useful comments and suggestions on earlier versions of this paper. Thanks also to Bernard Buchenel, Alexandra Kolly, Philippe Thalmann, Maurice Riedo, Matthias Rufer, Andrea Studer, and Gerda Suter for providing data and comments on earlier versions. The paper does not necessarily represent the views of the project sponsors and we are solely responsible for any remaining error.