Estimating the Functional Form of Road Traffic Maturity

Nunez, Antonio Benigno

doi:10.1007/s11067-007-9049-0

Cited by 2 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 11 publications

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“…According to Kriger et al [3] the ramp-up period is the time needed for new transportation infrastructure to reach their full potential demand, without considering the influence of socio-demographic growth and regional economy. Nunez [12] argument that the ramp-up period is a reflection of not knowing the traveler to the new transportation infrastructure and the benefits of what will be felt.…”

Section: Ramp-upmentioning

confidence: 99%

Developing model of toll road traffic forecasting during ramp-up period

et al. 2019

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The Feasibility of Toll Road project investment that uses Public Private Partnership (PPP) scheme is largely determined by the accuracy of traffic forecasting as a reflection of revenue streams. The accuracy level of traffic forecasting is needed to get a description of risks and uncertainty of Toll Road projects to be invested. Unfortunately, the international studies of forecasting show to trend of overestimate, particularly occurred in the early years of the new Toll Road operation. It is the acute problem in the short term Toll Road investment or known as ‘ramp-up period’. The conventional model of aggregation based on socio-economic and demographic growth has not been able to anticipate the problem, since the ramp-up period is a process of learning and adaptation for regional travellers due to changes in travel behaviour after the new Toll Road infrastructure began to operate. Accordingly, the disaggregation model is considered the most realistic used to predict the potential traffic that occur during the ramp-up period. This paper provides a review of several studies dealing with traffic forecasting model for Toll Road projects during the rump-up period.

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Section: Ramp-upmentioning

confidence: 99%

Developing model of toll road traffic forecasting during ramp-up period

et al. 2019

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The Study Degree of Saturation on Toll Road Access Based on Changes in Urban Settlement Land

Akbardin

Permana

Nurahman

2020

J. Phys.: Conf. Ser.

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Changes in land use that are not in harmony with the growth in the number of vehicles cause congestion and decrease in the speed of travel. Toll road access is one of the important ways to decrease traffic jams in cities that require smooth traffic flow. The purpose of this study is to analyze the level of service level of toll road access to land use changes from residential environments to commercial areas. The analytical method was used to use multiple regression analysis to estimate traffic generation from changes in commercial land use. The degree of saturation of road toll access before land use change shows DS values of 0.56 to 0.65 which were analyzed at peak morning hours. This was an indication of the smooth flow of traffic. After there was a change in land use shown from the trip generation from the commercial area with the equation Y = 2.554 + 1.143 X3 + 1.041 X4 + 1.011 X5 +1.256 X6 + 1.2045 X7 with the significance of the model R2 = 0.91. So that due to changes in land use, the toll access point was higher with changes in the degree of saturation 0.6 to 1.2.

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Estimating the Functional Form of Road Traffic Maturity

Abstract: Traffic growth, Traffic maturity, Demand forecast, Elasticity,

Cited by 2 publications

References 11 publications

Developing model of toll road traffic forecasting during ramp-up period

Developing model of toll road traffic forecasting during ramp-up period

The Study Degree of Saturation on Toll Road Access Based on Changes in Urban Settlement Land

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