Evaluating the simulated mean soil carbon transit times by Earth system models using observations

Abstract

Abstract.One known bias in current Earth system models (ESMs) is the underestimation of global mean soil carbon (C) transit time (τsoil), which quantifies the mean age of the C atoms at the time they leave the soil. However, it remains unclear where such underestimations are located globally. Here, we constructed a global database of measured τsoil across 187 sites to evaluated results from twelve ESMs. The observations showed that the estimated τsoi was 20 dramatically shorter from the soil incubations studies in the laboratory environment (median as 4 with the interquartile range of 1-25 years) than that derived from field in-situ measurements (31 with 5-84 years) with the shifts of stable isotopic C ( 13 C) or the stock-over-flux approach. In comparison with the field observations, the multi-model ensemble simulated a shorter median (19 years) and a smaller spatial variation (interquartile range of 6-28 years) of τsoil across the same site locations. We then found a significant and negative linear correlation between the in-situ measured τsoil 25 and mean annual air temperature, and the underestimations of modeled τsoil are mainly located in cold and dry biomes especially tundra and desert. Furthermore, we showed that one ESM (i.e., CESM) has improved its τsoil estimate by incorporation of the soil vertical profile. These findings indicate that the spatial variation of τsoil is a useful benchmark for ESMs, and we recommend more observation and modeling efforts on soil C dynamics in hydrothermal limited regions. 30